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cheese007

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  1. 30% contour added for central OK to just north of the DFW metro on D4
  2. Funnel on Gene Theiszen's stream at severe studios EDIT: Kory Hartman at severestudios had some interesting rotation
  3. 40/20 on the second tor watch for IL/MO SEL1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 121 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1115 AM CDT Wed Apr 13 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southern Illinois Southeastern Missouri * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1115 AM until 400 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible SUMMARY...A line of storms is expected to continue moving east-northeastward into southeastern Missouri and southern Illinois through early-mid afternoon. The primary severe threat will be damaging winds with bowing segments in the line, though embedded circulations will also pose the threat for a couple of tornadoes. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Carbondale IL to 30 miles southwest of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 120... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 25040. ...Thompson
  4. WOUS64 KWNS 122207 WOU3 BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 113 New watch up in the midwest. 80/60 tor probs, 80/10 wind, 80/70 hail NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 510 PM CDT TUE APR 12 2022 TORNADO WATCH 113 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS IAC025-027-033-047-063-069-073-079-081-091-109-147-151-161-187- 189-195-197-130300- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0113.220412T2210Z-220413T0300Z/ IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CALHOUN CARROLL CERRO GORDO CRAWFORD EMMET FRANKLIN GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HUMBOLDT KOSSUTH PALO ALTO POCAHONTAS SAC WEBSTER WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT MNC013-043-047-091-147-161-165-130300- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0113.220412T2210Z-220413T0300Z/ MN . MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BLUE EARTH FARIBAULT FREEBORN MARTIN STEELE WASECA WATONWAN ATTN...WFO...DMX...MPX...
  5. https://twitter.com/themattphelps/status/1514005247500369920?t=Wzg3w5QzcXpO1Q5qSUMxYg&s=19
  6. Tornado Warning TXC027-099-122245- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0033.220412T2201Z-220412T2245Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 501 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Coryell County in central Texas... North central Bell County in central Texas... * Until 545 PM CDT. * At 500 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles north of Fort Hood, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Mother Neff State Park around 540 PM CDT. McGregor around 545 PM CDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Oglesby. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 3131 9790 3145 9751 3132 9742 3124 9734 3119 9786 TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 255DEG 27KT 3125 9780 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN $$ Bonnette
  7. 40/20 tor probs but 60/50 hail SEL2 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 112 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 410 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and north Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 410 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Clusters of storms will continue to spread eastward across central Texas, with some tendency for new development northeastward toward Dallas-Fort Worth, and southward to near Austin. The storm environment will gradually become more favorable for embedded supercells into this evening, with the potential for a couple of tornadoes, isolated very large hail, and damaging gusts. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles north northwest of Corsicana TX to 55 miles south southwest of Temple TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 110...WW 111... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 26025. ...Thompson
  8. 60/40 tor and 95/95 hail probs on the midwest watch SEL1 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 111 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 335 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northwest Iowa Northeast Nebraska Extreme southeast South Dakota * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until 1000 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 75 mph possible SUMMARY...Supercell development will be possible in the next couple of hours, near and east of a surface cyclone along the Nebraska/South Dakota border. The storm environment will continue to become more favorable for a few tornadoes (a couple of which could be strong) and very large hail, if storms can mature quickly enough in the relatively narrow, unstable warm sector near the warm front. Damaging winds will also be possible, especially late this evening when storms could grow upscale into a squall line along the cold front approaching from the west. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of Yankton SD to 45 miles south of Sioux City IA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 110... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 22040. ...Thompson
  9. SEL0 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 110 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 130 PM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and northwest Texas * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM until 900 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is underway south of Abilene, in an environment that favors continued expansion and intensification of the storms through the afternoon. A mix of multicell clusters and some supercell structures will be possible, with an attendant threat for large hail up to tennis ball size, and damaging outflow gusts up to 70 mph. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Mineral Wells TX to 75 miles south southwest of Brownwood TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27020. ...Thompson
  10. D1 Mod out for Iowa SPC AC 121311 Day 1 Convective Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0811 AM CDT Tue Apr 12 2022 Valid 121300Z - 131200Z ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL IOWA... ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTH/CENTRAL TEXAS... CORRECTED FOR NDFD THUNDER GRAPHIC ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes are expected late this afternoon and tonight across a broad portion of the southern/central Plains into the Mississippi Valley. Some of the tornadoes could be strong. ...Central Plains/Middle Missouri Valley/Upper Midwest... Portions of west-central/north-central Iowa have been upgraded to a Categorical Moderate Risk, with a somewhat focused potential for tornadoes along with large hail and damaging winds expected late this afternoon and evening near the surface low and nearby triple point/warm front vicinity. Potentially intense thunderstorm development, including surface-based convection and elevated storms to the north of the northward-shifting warm front, is expected by late afternoon across eastern Nebraska/northwest Iowa/southeast Minnesota generally near the surface low/triple point. Moisture return across the warm sector will be relatively modest (generally upper 50s to low 60s F dewpoints), but will be sufficient for the development of moderate buoyancy due to the presence of steep mid-level lapse rates and relatively cool temperatures aloft. Wind profiles will be quite favorable for supercells near the triple point and in the vicinity of the warm front, with very strong deep-layer shear and enlarged low-level hodographs. Any discrete supercells that develop within this regime will be capable of all severe hazards, including the potential for strong tornadoes and very large hail. Later this evening, more widespread/southward-spatially expanding convection is expected along the eastward-surging cold front, resulting in an increasing damaging wind threat this evening. Damaging winds aside, a tornado threat will also exist with any embedded circulations within the line of frontal convection given the robust magnitude of low-level winds (upwards of 60-70 kt) in the lowest 2-3 km AGL. Overall storm intensity will tend to diminish by early in the overnight. ...Central/North Texas to the Lower Mississippi Valley... A southern-stream/lead shortwave trough nearing the south Texas/Mexico border vicinity this morning will continue northeastward toward the ArkLaMiss through evening. Storms may develop as soon as mid-afternoon near the dryline as it extends across north/west-central Texas. Effective shear of 35-45 kt will favor a few eastward-moving supercells and/or organized clusters into late afternoon/early evening. Moderate-to-strong buoyancy and steep mid-level lapse rates will support a threat of very large hail and severe wind gusts with the strongest cells/clusters. Any supercells that can persist into the richer low-level moisture east of the dryline may also pose some tornado threat. An additional/somewhat separate corridor of potentially severe storms are possible this afternoon and evening farther east across far east Texas into Louisiana and southern Arkansas. While the details are a bit unclear, strengthening deep-layer shear and moderate buoyancy would be supportive of at least some hail/wind potential, and low-level shear/helicity, enhanced by a diurnally sustained branch of the low-level jet, may be sufficient for a couple of tornadoes as well. ...Central/eastern Oklahoma and south-central Kansas... A conditionally favorable supercell environment will exist late this afternoon into evening along and ahead of the dryline that will exist from central Kansas southward into west-central Oklahoma. However, this region will be between the main mid-level trough and surface low to the north, and the ejecting low-amplitude shortwave trough to the south. Most convection-allowing models continue to show very little signal for deep convective initiation in this region. However, some global guidance such as multiple runs of the ECMWF depict isolated development across central Oklahoma, and this may be plausible given ample post-dryline heating/mixing and confluence/modest convergence near the dryline. If/where storms develop and sustain, localized intense/significant severe weather may occur. Very large hail would be a possibility and a tornado risk will likely exist as well, especially if any storms are sustained through early/mid-evening as low-level hodographs further enlarge. ..Guyer/Smith.. 04/12/2022 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z CURRENT UTC TIME: 1349Z (8:49AM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
  11. 70/40 tor probs SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 107 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 330 PM CDT Mon Apr 11 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Western and central Arkansas East central and southeast Oklahoma Extreme northeast Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until 1100 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected this afternoon into this evening from southeast Oklahoma and extreme northeast Texas into western and central Arkansas. The storm environment favors a mix of discrete and clustered supercells capable of producing very large hail (near or larger than baseballs), damaging winds up to 70 mph, and a couple of strong (EF2+) tornadoes into early tonight. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west southwest of Poteau OK to 20 miles north northeast of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 27025. ...Thompson
  12. Found on SouthernWX. Absolutely buckwild footage from a tor in Georgia earlier .
  13. Backsides of the storm mean business from a lightening perspective. HUGE strike just outside apartment VERY loud
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