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PackGrad05

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Everything posted by PackGrad05

  1. PackGrad05
    It isn't what fell already, it is what is still to come
  2. PackGrad05
    I'm 80% certain those NWS snowfall maps y'all post are automated and not made by the meteorologists in the building. I may be wrong, but they are always all over the place.
  3. PackGrad05
    the dry slot is pivoting, but Wake is at the pivot point...so as the bottom of the pendulum swings, we stay in the same spot
  4. PackGrad05
    For what it's worth, the most recent HRRR did prolong the end of the event another 1-3 hours for Wake... So if we begin by 7PM, we could have over 6 hours of precipitation.
  5. PackGrad05
    Any triangle folks who were paying attention over the last 24-48 hours knew it wasn't going to start until mid-afternoon at the earliest!
  6. PackGrad05
    It is still early for Wake. It'll get cranking this afternoon. Just be patient.
  7. PackGrad05
    Flurries in Willow Springs (Wake)
  8. PackGrad05
    I've got flurries in southern Wake.
  9. PackGrad05
    Radar is definitely filling in Johnston county toward eastern wake .
  10. PackGrad05
    2 to 4 is possible only bc of high ratios. They may save us. .
  11. PackGrad05
    Alan just said 2 to 4 for Raleigh .
  12. PackGrad05
    Wral updated wake to 1 to 3 inches. .
  13. PackGrad05
    03Z HRRR fills in much faster for Wake. Hopefully the start of a good trend
  14. PackGrad05
    KAT CAMPBELL tweeted: These are new Euro ensembles - still showing a good bet that you'll see snow but the odds of 3" decreased a bit in the western part of our viewing area. Our saving grace? The high resolution models aren't seeing the snow band in our northern counties that's been around for hours
  15. PackGrad05
    I'd take 3" guaranteed. That is in the top 15% of snowfalls at RDU over the past 50 years.
  16. PackGrad05
    the 01 and 02Z HRRR runs continue the trend of snow not really beginning in Wake until 1 - 2 PM
  17. PackGrad05
    All the professionals are saying the same thing. They are all saying there is the POSSIBILITY of a bust and a MINIMUM in central NC. But so far nobody has the guts to put 0-1" on a map.
  18. PackGrad05
    ALLAN says CONGRATS CLT this is your storm.
  19. PackGrad05
    ALLAN says the high-res models may be on to something and if it isn't snowing in Raleigh tomorrow morning, then the LOW BUST RISK is HIGH
  20. PackGrad05
    BRAD P posted 10PM update. He mentions that some of the CAMS are struggling with initiation but blossoming. He also says he was one of the first ones to mention the DRY SLOT.
  21. PackGrad05
    As someone said earlier, there are places ALREADY GETTING SNOW that are not depicted as getting snow on some of those high res snowfall accumulation maps.
  22. PackGrad05
    HRRR also showed it earlier, and hasn't corrected too much
  23. PackGrad05
    LMAO, FISHEL just made a video at 8:40 and said a model earlier scared the living daylights out of him and "killed everything" but has since corrected. I guess he didn't see the new one yet! Nobody knows
  24. PackGrad05
    00Z HRRR fills in that huge dry slot a little bit.. but still has it. It also has the precip starting mid-afternoon in Raleigh and ending a little later sunday morning
  25. PackGrad05
    Mike Maze just posted the EURO Ensembles (which they call their exclusive product) and the amounts keep trending down. You can expect an adjustment to their map either tonight or tomorrow morning and they will probably have Wake County in the 1-3" range.
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