ForestHillWx

The models are still having difficulty with the primary’s lp center, and the energy involved in the potential phase, before the jump to the coast. We need it to happen south of PA; preferably south WV.

It doesn’t pop the secondary low until just south of LI; compared to off NC/VA…. What’s that, 500 miles as the crow flys?

To my untrained eye the models are having a difficult time determining the location of the primary before the transfer; the ensemble means are clearly south compared to the ops. The next step is determining how much energy might phase as the GFS is chasing lp centers off the coast; the Euro less so. As we get closer I am looking for the transfer to be closer to the VA/NC border, with the primary dying off in southern or central W.V. To me, that will signal a solid storm.

Flurries at the office in Berkeley Heights and came home to a trace on the patio.

I’m at 1 degree Per wunderground (accuracy?) there are multiple below zero readings down the hill in Peapack/Gladstone. They have a unique ability to trap cold air in that sink.

@psv88i think it’s fair to agree it’s cold; no one said historic cold. It’s frozen lung cold out this way; just came in with the dog. 8/-3; colder than last night already.

It’s 12 right now; touched 8 this morning at dawn.

Not sure where you all live, but it’s been a cold winter with decent snow pack in spurts out this way, but for the week long mild-up. There’s easily 6” on the ground and it was 9 this morning when I went out to start shoveling again.

Finished with 2” out of this nights burst; 6” for the two day total. Like all have commented, dead calm and peaceful with snow clinging everywhere.

Legit snow rates now. Thankfully it’s lighter than this morning for shoveling purposes.

Likely for the kids. I got a pot roast going earlier for the wife and I. Something about a snowy day with a roast, maybe some red wine... and asleep by 9. Ha.

Still snowing in Chester; a snowman is assembled; snowball fight with the kids in the books and sled tracks are in. All gravy now.

Hasn’t really stopped in Chester and picked back up intensity :15 minutes ago. Road is getting covered again.

@MANDA has noted this for the past week. The cold load in AK/Yukon and the Northwest territory is impressive.

Still coming down out this way, even under lighter returns. Very peaceful snow while making pancakes for the kids; syrup ‘em up and send them out!