ForestHillWx

Can start to see the semblance of a weenie band setting up from West Point southwest to West Milford down to my area near Long Valley. For us northern folks, that outer max band always brings the goods; hope I end up under it.

Euro moving every so slightly west was telegraphed on last nights ensemble. Tip was of the opinion, as of yesterday afternoon, that it’s not done trending west; to be determined. I’m not overly concerned about the qpf projections up here in northwest NJ; the 700 fronto that’s been depicted is phenomenal. Letting the weenie flag fully fly: I can’t wait to see the developed ccb as this thing churns toward the cape.

Still a significant west lean with some deep members; steady as she goes at this point.

Jan 2016 dropped 33” at my house in Chester; I’m all in on this one. Let’s friggen get it! Edit: You never want to touch the money, but the trends on this, for all models over the past 24, I’m sold.

Could see the GFS was going for the full phase since 06z this morning. The vibes are good in here; we deserve this. Even warlock is slowly coming on board….

There’s a lot of really amped members with a west lean; GFS going for glory with this storm. If the 06z op showed anything it was that it opened the low out in the Atlantic; it had the 2 dueling lows for a few runs.

Lots of energy being depicted on this run. Giggity.

Getting some good rain this morning; the snow pack remains strong in my area, but a few thinner areas have developed.

I feel like it’s been a while since we had a system eject from the 4 corners region out west. I vaguely remember data sampling issues with those systems.

It’s having difficulty with phasing; you can see the jump from 21z to 0z. That doesn’t make a whole lot of sense; hopefully it irons out in our favor. I’m just glad the potential exists for now; we live to see more model runs!

Gotta love this place; primary to Buffalo at 06z followed by OTS at 18z, all in a day.

As much as I’d love that to work out, driving the primary to Buffalo, typically has significant precip type problems for our area. But, as we need any and all precip at this point, let’s land this sucker!

2” in Chester; whitened everything back up and no need to shovel. Edit: did shovel front and back walkways, but melting quickly.

It’s cold today. The icicles hanging in front of my windows just started to drip; they’ve been in full sun since 7:00 am.

Just out of morbid curiosity how are the anomalies measured over the arctic? Is it satellite generated or is the data filled in via nearest sensors?