Blizzwalker

Substantial glaze over everything and I see trees branches and shrubs weighted down with ice. Relatively little loss of snowpack so far. Looks like at least .2 ice but just guessing. I'd say NOAA forecast was correct for up here.

Why does a storm being more amped (stronger/ further north/warmer) cause a storm soon after to be colder/ southeast ? I have heard multiple posters state that they hope the Tuesday storm is more amped so the Thursday storm will have a more southeastern ( snowier) track.

I understand there are verification scores used to compare predictive accuracy of models. I am wondering if there is data that looks at the relationship between time until storm event and the predicted placement of storm track vs the actual storm track (or placement of low pressure). So the GFS vs NAM vs EURO, etc would be compared at 8 days, 5 days, 3 days, etc in their predicted track for a given event. At each point in time, you would note the difference in mileage (20,50,100, etc) between the forecasted track and what verified as actual. Of course as the time until the event became less, you would expect less of a discrepancy...think somebody asked something similar a few weeks ago. Does anything like this exist ? I am not familiar with verification scores-- maybe that is part of the process of generating them ?

About 3 inches just west of Middletown. Snowing moderately. Looks like the forecast for here will verify-- we take the crystallized water we are granted

Dont post much but this winter has me out more enjoying the parade of storms. Below are snow squalls over the Burroughs range in the Catskills (taken from Sam's Point Preserve).