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mgerb

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Everything posted by mgerb

  1. mgerb
    It's also in a very low lying valley. Just perfect radiational cooling conditions there. https://www.njweather.org/station/79
  2. mgerb
    About 0.65" in my part of Somerset (Franklin Twp). Pretty intense storm, borderline severe, with some hail mixed in. Not a ton of thunder when it get here. Lots of small branches (and a few large ones) down in my neighborhood. Township is actually requesting no unnecessary travel, so think some damage was worse in other parts of town. Definitely glad to have some good rains over the past few days (over an inch here as well).
  3. mgerb
    Looks like we'll pick up a hundredth or two here in Somerset. Not helpful.
  4. mgerb
    Can confirm that this is likely, at least on the NJ side (subject to the final call by the author).
  5. mgerb
    Yeah. I'm at 0.46" month-to-date (actually back to 7/27). Among the driest in the state (at least for CoCoRaHS). https://maps.cocorahs.org/?maptype=precip&units=us&base=std&cp=BluYlwRed&datetype=mtd&displayna=0&dc=0.9&key=dynamic&overlays=state,county&bbox=-76.86859130859376,39.65645604812829,-72.25433349609376,41.44066745847661
  6. mgerb
    Say no more.
  7. mgerb
    Very well may be. Sandy soils tend to heat up more quickly. Btw, there's a NJWxNet Mesonet station at Miller Airpark (separate from the AWOS), so you can always take a look at that too for corroboration with the KMJX reports: https://www.njweather.org/station/1032
  8. mgerb
    It is. That's from the NJWxNet.
  9. mgerb
    It's the flash flooding threat that's the concern.
  10. mgerb
    Agree. Can see a (differential heating/outflow) surface boundary extending ENE from into central Somerset. I suspect storms will form/travel along the boundary. My hunch is from there south has the highest threat.
  11. mgerb
    Yup. Can confirm. The sensor crapped out during maintenance this morning. So it'll be down for a while while awaiting a new sensor to be prepared. Sigh.
  12. mgerb
    For sure. If you check out the NY state FORTS inventory here, you'll find a few dozen "New York" stations, some as far back as the early 1800s. But not sure if these are indeed all NYC stations and the data quality or completeness. But if interested, definitely suggest poking around there to try to learn more.
  13. mgerb
    No one was "sitting on this data." Rather, it was uncovered through some old-fashioned library research combined with FORTS data. Here's some more detailed background:
  14. mgerb
    Two drownings in Plainfield, unfortunately: https://www.nj.com/weather/2025/07/flooding-kills-2-women-in-vehicle-swept-into-brook-during-fierce-nj-storms.html 3.29" final total here.
  15. mgerb
    Just a touch under 3.00" in Somerset near New Brunswick.
  16. mgerb
    Sure. I just mean more coverage than 12Z, when there was basically nothing.
  17. mgerb
    Looks like the NAM got a clue between 12Z and 18Z.
  18. mgerb
    Click link to zoom in: https://maps.cocorahs.org/?maptype=precip&units=us&base=std&cp=BluYlwRed&datetype=custom&displayna=0&from=2025-07-01&to=2025-07-02&dc=0.9&key=dynamic&overlays=state,county&bbox=-76.93176269531251,38.63189092902837,-72.31750488281251,40.44276659332215
  19. mgerb
    Exactly the same here. Storms generally fizzled on approach (what else is new), but glad to have a decent soaking given the dry June.
  20. mgerb
    This is probability of severe wind, not general wind conditions.
  21. mgerb
    About 1.80" for the month here, so yes, would like some rain. Haven't really had a legit thunderstorm yet this year either.
  22. mgerb
    Recent posting by WFO-PHI confirms that 99 was the high at PHL.
  23. mgerb
    I mean, 94 is the high so far. Yeah, not sure what the deal is with that. I know what you mean.
  24. mgerb
    94 at New Brunswick, FWIW.
  25. mgerb
    Right. With the strong inversion, there's no winds mixing down north of the warm front. That's why it's been so calm. That will change once the cold front passes.
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