Supernovice

Fatties starting to mix in here in Lowell.

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

@40/70 Benchmark

I’d def be down and run it for 10-12 people. $100 fee? All fees would obvs be paid out, if there is legit interest lemme know and I’ll get it set up on sleeper or something.

Glady take our climate even given recent snow deficits, compared to what’s going on in SoCal tonight- t’s and p’s

Mv valley just now

9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

You'd have to know what the exponential value is to be precise.   Than you can take the root ( determine )... like, maybe if it's the exponential increase goes by the square, than you take the square root of 8. 

something like day 2.8 or so.  that point in time should stop the momentum.   seems intuitive.  heh, at least you're not giving the interviewer dead air, gaped mouth and vacant stair for an answer

Easier than you think, if it doubles everyday you’d have to cut it by the end of day 7. Up until that point it looks like a manageable problem- until all of a sudden it’s not. Same thing with cc…again just imho and don’t want to derail things.

29 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

  The future can not be extrapolated using a linear inference ...unless we're fucking morons.

 

IMHO this is the key, the human brain hasn’t evolved to properly understand the risks of exponential relationships. Our brains just don’t compute it, at a population level. It’s how you get the Covid fiasco, people blowing their funds up on the yen carry etc etc…

there’s an interview question about a pond with invasive vines that choke out all life. The pond is basically clear now but the vines double everyday and will choke the pond in 8 days if they’re not cleared. On what day must the pond be cleared to avoid catastrophe?

Just missed us to the north from Jenness Beach

Speaking of Merrimack Valley, anyone battling fungus this year? I sprayed once… didn’t seem to get it all, so just put down disease x 48 hours ago but….? Wondering if there are any better remedies…thanks 

From what I’ve heard (cnn) when the red line goes up, it’s like a 30 min warning due to the distance of the satellite. Started going up about 15 mins ago.

https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/real-time-solar-wind

Heavy sleet here,  36.0

I feel like I know the answer to this but- any chance we cool off before the precip ends? Sitting at 32.7 and pouring- would rather us not cool to 31.

Giving a talk next week… just hear me out.

I spy Cory:

https://x.com/kassydillon/status/1762609430388978170?s=46&t=ej91V1PwyPgv_VUNXsO_yQ

4 hours ago, Lava Rock said:

Alaska did not bake

Sent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk
 

I’m not in the business of picking spots on the globe to fit my preconceived narrative but you do you.

3 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Will it ever begin? 

To this point… what’s the mechanism that *could* bring global temp anomalies back in line? We baked at a global scale this year- I’m not sure betting on a miraculous return to prior curve is a bet I’d make. 

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Thanks for the heads up. I’ll report it 

Don’t report it, change your password and any other password that might be remotely close to it. Also- looking forward to you slant sticking your way to 6, jk jk…. Not really 

Anyone know where that 83mph from Rye,NH was recorded? That’s unbelievable…literally.

4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Anyone got a radar

lightened up big time in Bedford 

Here u go:

13 here at the Tewksbury/ Andover/ Lowell triangle. Not accounting for compaction- just measured. Still puking, we over perform.  

What’s the rough timeline on the 7th? Supposed to be on a return flight from Austria on Sunday. Figures.

Does fish lurk here?

https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1737604776676954152?s=46&t=ej91V1PwyPgv_VUNXsO_yQ

16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

22 years. Wonder what it looks like if you have a better sample size. No doubt it's warmer, but even our temperatures are measured in 30yr bins.

To your point, usually when you see 'odd' data selections there's a reason.  I bet if you went to 30- you would include some of the mid 1990's winters and the deviation would look a whole lot less impressive. Let's see when we get to 2030- could be even worse who knows?

As much it pains me, and trust me- it does....tip of the cap to @Damage In Tolland- I did not think there was a chance in h that Logan would verify TS conditions. Even a blind squirrel- haha

Also everything grounded at Logan supposedly.

My timeline is blowing up w/ mets saying the latest forecast for El Nino, is that it has peaked or is peaking, and will subside as move through the rest of winter.  What are the practical implications- climatologically speaking?

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

You in Lowell? No concern. 

Ty much