Regan

Y’all are silly. Not every model will be happy. We know this by now.

Allan first map is up. So far he thinks up to an inch in Wake. Said he will update later.

I think JB was referring to the jut west and then east. It's in his tweets.

Yeah, I think it's safe to say that the NHC should update the N to NNW. Bastardi addressed this earlier and posted this pic. Said it looks to him to be west of north and not north as posted. Looks like more than a "wobble" imo. He also stated that he wasn't buying the latest gfs and how it wasn't letting come more west.

Agree. Someone used the phrase "shell of former self" and it's caught on. Also people downplaying a cat 1 or ts is crazy. Damage has been done with less. It does put people in danger. I don't like how people are downplaying it. Especially ones that don't even live in Nc. Hurricanes and Tropicals are bad period. It's unnerving to hear this talk. It's like someone is saying "I'm sorry that tree fell on your house, could have smashed you and your family though. No biggie. At least you have insurance." These storms are a big pain and a tax on us all. Ditto to what downeastnc said above. No, it won't be damage necessarily like PR and Dominica, but dang it's no good period.

I wouldn't necessarily follow that median line period. I'm just saying it's interesting. The NHC doesn't know.

NHC shifted the cone again. 8am, 2pm, 5pm

They just said the curve was made more extreme and closer to the coast. That's what I was pointing out. Interesting seeing the cone evolve.

Interesting about the NHC track.

I see 3 scenarios. One of which you are saying. And no. It's not just about Jose's strength of course. We will have to wait. It's not as simple a set up and people want to believe. How many more days of hurricane season? Lol

I just don't, like many mets are saying now, think Jose will be strong enough to steer Maria. Not saying she slams the coast hard like the CMC was saying by any means. Just saying maybe these mets are right that she may meander off the coast somewhere a day or 2 before maybe coming in a bit west (not sure how far) and finally a system coming from the NW pushes her out. Heard this last night several times and Bernie did a scope last night as well. Just a thought. Who knows until the day. She's down to moving NW at 7mph now. Creeping along. They are saying it gives Jose more time to weaken and move out. Tough.

And she's creeping NW still at 7 mph. Slow.

Bernie Rayno just did an interesting scope.

I'm not gonna breathe a sigh of relief until it's after Wednesday and gone. It's probably gonna be fine and stay otc, but models are often off and sometimes way off.

Pretty much. But honestly, they could swap again or just show us something new. We are about 9 days out give or take. Ages. Nothing would surprise me this season. I'm not ready to bet on any model.