Regan

Eric Webb just tweeted about the HRRR being on to something.

I have no idea on that. What I do know is that the core is to pass over the Triangle area. And the public is practically ignoring this whole thing. I think it’s Flo apathy. But this will be windier. Idk how people survive these days.

With this said by news media and others behind the scenes, to be worse/ more noticeable than with Florence, I think a lot of Piedmont’er and especially Triangle folks are about to be surprised. Many business and university systems (like NCSU), that closed with Florence are open for business so far. Not really sure why. I think there’s a lack of knowledge and I have definitely seen it on social media. People are still somehow completely unaware. People were shocked when schools closed. Unleashing tons of confusion. The Triangle nearly felt Florence. The gusting wasn’t bad. This could be double.

I completely agree. I have literally storm/snow seen Fishel and crew forecasting. Going slowly over the details. Except when it comes to wind/ or inches with snow, the speed up really fast to hurry through it. It’s a clear sign they don’t know. But I wish they’d lay out the possiblities. I’m expecting the minimum of 20/30 sustained and 40-50 or even more long gusts. But I worry about the people uninformed or ones that just hear it as nothing. I hope it’s not over 50 gust in Raleigh. That’s bad enough. Especially long ones

I think what Wral is suggesting is a good start and can cause enough damage. Yes we could get more. Michael isn’t playing by the rules, but I just hope people take it seriously.

Wral is sticking to the 20-30 sustained and 40-60gusting and avoiding too much detail.

When they go out of their way to not discuss it it’s because they don’t know and that is not great. We will see.

I think anything is possible given how long he’s holding on to his energy last when they expected.

I don’t get this because everything seems to be going up.

Well, maybe Brad isn’t going off the warning just being placed in Wake. Did I read that right? The RAH discussion suggested they are watching for potentials for higher gusts. I havent seen any uodates by him by him on twitter regarding winds. Only early this morning on his video.

Some tv met tried to explain why Wake isn’t in warning/watch criteria yet. Doesn’t mean we won’t see high winds just not as likely for 1 min or more at a time. I didn’t know that. Regardless, I worry it is downplayed and when they decide to up the possibility of more we have little time. I am seeing some generic 50mph markers were before it was 40 and 45. Baby steps manybe?

I think so. I am noticing some baby steps up. Now the news is comfortable saying 50mph. I think it’ll be a little at a time as they see how he behaves on land and also not to cause hysteria.

Yeah. I think it’s a big deal. Personally. Especially when I’m seeing most people aren’t taking it seriously at all and aren’t prepped. Tv is telling them 15-30mph. Maybe 45mph but low chance. Then, there’s the ones not watching at all and when I post an update on Facebook they are shocked or think it’s not coming. I get the whole “survival of the fittest”. But I think these types of winds are a big deal.

I think we’d best be ready for up to 40mph and 80mph in central and eastern NC. Based on TV and then on runs. I guess they have to wait and see what happens to him once he gets inland some and see how he behaves. Doesn’t give us up here a lot of time at that point to prep. I’m telling you most people aren’t taking this seriously because the tv isn’t. People are laughing at this right now. Flo wasn’t a biggie for them and they think is nothing because it’s in the gulf as opposed to on our coast.

Zero so far. Still being told 15, 20-30s. Maybe 45. Nothing more than Flo. I’m wondering this myself. If not people could be caught off guard.

So when I wonder will we all be warned. We are only being lead to think 15-30 maybe 45mph here in central Nc.

926.8mb

Well Wake is not as of yet in the watch. Even though they are says we will have winds in that range here. I still wonder how much higher it could be.

Right but one could assume that the inland tracked forecasted weakening should be adjusted some from 2 days ago when they though landfall at 125mph and now with expected 145mph+.

I’m really wondering if this monster will weaken as fast as they are suggesting now. I too having seen any changes in their predictions even though it’s 20+ higher mph.

Really windy in west Raleigh. Power flickers. I’m sure we will lose it at some point. Yards are littered. Things are hitting the roof. Getting nervous about tornados. Watched the Rocky Mount warning inch this way.

Things are progressing. Forecasts here in Raleigh have changed with the expansion of Flo. Not happy about possibly seeing 53mph gusting here. Our news caster came on and told us things are changing potentially and we have a better chance now of worse than they thought. That’s it wouldn’t be as bad as Fran in the Triangle, but die to the prolonged period and rains it’ll be significant in areas. Especially just to the south parts.

Nah he said even near the airport could see 53mph. I think he’s trying to prep for the possibilities because things have changed a little. Never know. Warned about tornados. Etc. upped the rain.

Well. Fishel came on wringing his hands a little. Said the Triangle has greater chances of up to 50mph or so now. More to the south. Said it isn’t as bad a Fran was but this is a long period of time and it could be significant in places. Well great.

Problem is 99.9999% of folk cannot and will be basing their decisions off whatever local adfiliate they watch. <Shrugs> That’s problematic. This may be an issue with some stations, but I don’t think fisher would steer us wrong if he knew better and I know he’s looking at all models.