. QPF box-and-whisker
diagrams from the 00z LREF, which utilize the coarser-res
ensembles (EPS/GEPS/GEFS) and not the finer- scale guidance
which we`re not yet in the forecast horizon to see their output as yet, shows QPF values around 1-1.5" in the 50th percentile at sites like Hartford and at Providence, but show values potentially reaching up to 3". Pretty good signal for steadier
soaking rains, supported by the ECMWF EFI/Shift-of-Tails
guidance which also offers potential for an anomalous rain
The ol' box-and-whisper and Shift-of-Tails. I check them every morning...