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osfan24

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Posts posted by osfan24

  1. 5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

    This look isn't great but its workable, with a -WPO and close to neutral EPO, TPV in a good spot, and despite a +AO/NAO. Still a mechanism to deliver some cold at times. Just have to time a wave when the cold presses the gradient southward.

    1738713600-Cx5kyzQIS1U.png

     

    I really need to see at least the AO negative, if not the NAO as well, to get really interested.

  2. 4 minutes ago, jonjon said:

    Also brutal just shoveling out the cars today.  Temps just above zero and wind make it so I can only handle being out there for 15-20 minute sessions.

    IMG_1270.jpg

    IMG_1271 (2).jpg

    Now that’s deep winter!!

    • Like 1
  3. 40 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Briefly heavier snow in this squall than anything yesterday 

    Same. Honestly, today has been more fun than yesterday with a few squalls moving through. Last squall was arguably the heaviest snow I’ve seen this year. Have close to as much snow from today as yesterday.

  4. 33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Just measured the same. lol. What a pile of shit.

    So bad. Hard to complain about this winter so far, but unless we get hit with one of these storms this week, I’ll go into late January right around climo to this point. This “event” was awful. Our only good storm was kinda underwhelming in some aspects. The heaviest snow fell in the wee hours of the morning and it only totaled like 6-7ish inches between parts 1 and 2. Kinda disappointing given the hype and the talk about it being such a loaded pattern. Hopefully, we get slammed at some point.

    • Like 1
  5. 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    Per SPC mesoanalysis the coastal has formed and there's a decent 925-850 frontogenesis area forming up just east of I-95.

    You can see that happening on radar. It’s pretty much over for those near and west of 95. You can see all the bands to the west falling apart and things east of 95 blossoming. What a terrible event for some of us. Happy some of you made out well enough.

  6. 3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

    It's nice. If we were two or three degrees colder regionwide this morning a lot more people would've won. 

    Maybe, but honestly, there wasn’t much precip until 2 or so in the afternoon for a lot of people. I’ll be interested to see a qpf chart when this one is over. Yeah, the lack of cold didn’t help, but all the precip seemed to end up from about Mt. PSU and Northwest from there.

  7. 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    I said 3-5” for MBY and 2-4” for DC. I think the bottom of those ranges may still be just reachable. But we need ~4 hours of ripping fatties probably to make that. 

    I think we can still manage 2-3 inches or so if it comes through and pummels for a bit. But between temps and just duration, we have some things really working against us now.

  8. 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

    Far N/W crowd might have 2-4” even before the stuff out west rotates through everyone. Unless something changes soon, might be closer to 4pm before I can sustain any precipitation IMBY.

    Right. I was just looking at radar a little more loosely and you can almost see that line setting up where basically you have to be at least in extreme western Moco/Hoco and west of there to think you are going to get consistent snow for the next couple of hours at least. I think we are just a bit too far southeast. We will probably get an inch or two later when it swings through.

  9. Of course, cold air taking too long to help us today but going to be way too much of it for that Tuesday/Wednesday storm.

    Still holding out hope for the late week storm but Euro isn’t interested at all and even the overzealous CMC is wide right and has been many runs now.

    After that, who knows. Too far out to even really look at.

  10. Just now, jayyy said:

    Rain/mix to snow with most of it falling in a 4-5 hour period when we have the best lift over the area has been the forecast all along. Nothings really changed for dc / Baltimore and points NNW at this point.

    I hope you are right. Seems warmer than expected and it’s going to be harder to get accumulation and good ratio’s with temps 32-34 and snowing. Radar doesn’t look at that impressive to me yet, either, unless you are up toward PSU land.

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