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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Cmc showed a cutter yesterday that took us from single digits lows to 50s and rain in a matter of hours lol.
  2. I Didn't look at any models last night. Needed a break lol. Looked at the overnight models this morning and thought there was some nice trends. Come in here and there's food fights and calming tits and what not. This is an interesting place.
  3. I don't mind this look 7 days out at all. Especially with this seasons tendencies.
  4. I don't think the north trend is weenie fallacy lol. We've seen southern VA/NC hits a week out turn into hits for our area many of times over the years. Ussually there's incremental shifts north the last 48 hours. I can't remember 1 time when it looked like a Pittsburgh hit 4 days out that ended up trending into a hit for us. I remember plenty of central VA hits 4 days out that turned into PSU land bullseye at game time.
  5. I would bet yes emphatically this entire set up is further north in a few days. I know you know this but models seem to overdue the cold push from distance.
  6. Only we can accomplish lows of single digits followed by 50s and rain just hours later. We have one he'll of an anti snow dome in these parts.
  7. Suppression is the last of my worries this season. Congrats Atlanta is fine with me a week out lol.
  8. According to the gefs we are down to about a 4 day window the first week in February? That will get the job done.
  9. Ended up with about an inch and a half but it's basically gone now. January 25th and haven't gotten the snow shovels out of the shed or the snow blower yet this season
  10. Gfs was pretty spot on for the M/D for the past several days. Consistently was painting 2 to 4 in the area of Hagerstown while other models moved the snow well into PA.
  11. Just going off of obs in the forum I thought I may be able to squeeze out another hour of pure snow.
  12. Its still 9 days out. My take away is there's cold air close by and plenty of moisture south of us.
  13. Kind of surprised already mostly sleet in Smithsburg. 32 degrees
  14. I want to see Tennessee Kentucky and Southern VA crushed the next couple of days.
  15. Love seeing digital blue in the Tennessee Valley for next week That's where we need to keep that boundary for now.
  16. Still mostly snow but a little sleet mixed in. Lightened up the last 10 minutes or so. 1" on the deck.
  17. Same here right down the rd from you on the MD side.
  18. Same here in Smithsburg. Last 20 minutes or so have been S+ with 1/4 mile visibility. Haven't measured yet but it's definitely atleast an inch.
  19. 33 degrees with light snow. Finally snow breaking through the anti - snow shield.
  20. 33 in Smithsburg Dew of 21 so should be able to get the temp to drop a little with onset of precip
  21. Is it a good sign for us when snow reaches Toronto before us?
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