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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. Starting to get late for major shifts but if we needed a shift at 500mb level I'd rather be needing a north shift than south. 200 miles further north with the cut off would probably get it done. Possible still with it being 4 days out. Thr better runs had this a Saturday night/ Sunday morning deal before the cut off low decided to take a tour of the gulf coast.
  2. Too far south. Need that up in Tennessee And it's slower. Not a good run. Probably would be a nice deform band of rain.
  3. Eps disagrees. But yes you are correct for some of the OP runs the last few cycles
  4. Looks like deep creek is the place to be for this week @nj2va
  5. There's alot of hits on the individual members. Some are for thr southern parts of the forum and some are for western areas. Overall I thought they looked pretty damn good.
  6. 6z gfs is about 6 hours faster with the upper level low. Track about the same. That's why it's a little better in the snow department for us. On TT toggle back and forth between the 0z and 6z. Definitely a bit quicker.
  7. Need to get the bowling ball just a little further north. 850s cold enough south of us. Paste job for sure. Reminds me Of January 2011. I believe there was a mix/rain during the day and then a dynamic pasting in the evening. Took me 5 hours to get home on 70 that night between Frederick and Hagerstown.
  8. It is but it's alot better than it's previous 2 runs. Maybe a meeting in the middle which wouldn't do us any good unfortunately.
  9. Cmc also tries but ends up south and east. Probably doesn't work out in the end but atleast it's something to track. I have zero expectations we see snow over the weekend so if we do I'll be delighted.
  10. @psuhoffmanmight disagree lol. Last 4 runs of the gfs show a storm and I take it as a win The last 2 have a 996 low to the south of us. Pretty close agreement with its last 2 runs in the placement. Good consistency for 5 days out IMO. If the low is further north it's snowing on us. Better than tracking 60 degrees in February.
  11. For sure. The iconic Icon tries but it's too south. It does develop a storm which is a win in my book
  12. I count about a dozen or so that has snow either over us or close to us. That Basically actually develops a storm . How does this compare to 00z eps?
  13. Models show no snow - fights in the long range thread for hours Models do show snow. - fights in the long range thread for hours.
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