
Chris78
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Everything posted by Chris78
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
H5 looks alot better then ground truth unfortunately. -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks tasty -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
He pops in when the rug is pulled to troll -
No doubt if the GFS caves it will be all in 1 run. It will move the low to Toledo and will be looking at 60 degrees lol Edit - for the Valentines day storm
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks to be slower which I think is what we want -
2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
No where close to the final outcome. That was a big move by the Euro. One more like that and it would look alot like the GFS -
If I could lock in the 6z gfs and call it a winter after PD3 I'm in. A SECS then a high end MECS. All within a weeks time.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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I'm more worried about suppression next Weekend lol. Definitely not an OV track
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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This By next weekend we're cold enough to snow per the GEFS. Idgaf about what the GfS says 11 days out lol.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Just looping the 24 hour precip panels on the Gefs it looks like we have southern stream waves on the 18/19, again on the 21st then another on the 23/24. Maybe there's only 2 waves with timing differences but it looks like 3. That's 3 chances in about 6 days to score something. 850s and 2m temps are below average during that stretch. Just need patience for a little longer..... Eta- @brooklynwx99 and @Terpeast ninjaed me while I was typing. But hey atleast I am seeing the same thing as 2 red taggers lol.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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2024 Valentines Day Rain/Snow/Who The Hell Knows Thread
Chris78 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Close it and start another -
Nice slug of moisture to our south. Definitely shows the potential.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Not sure which is better for us. The Euro would be colder but we risk it not coming north enough.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Looks like maybe 12 hours or so later than GFS?
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We need enough time to shut down this one and start a new one lol
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Yep. It's a shame things didn't start to reshuffle 2 to 3 weeks earlier so we could of had all of February and the first 2 weeks of March to cash in but it is what it is. Atleast in PA big storms can happen well into March. Further south it gets alot tougher after the first week of the month.
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Weeklies were just posted in the MA thread. If you want snow chances to the end of March you'll like them.
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I like the one you posted last week that showed 40" better.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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Yes. I was a little surprised how many big hits there was. Looks like most are a Monday night into Daytime Tuesday deal. Definitely a thread the needle type deal. The air mass is trash leading in.
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Eps with alot of Snowy solutions for next week. Best run in a while in regards to a specific threat
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Any concerns with the ridge showing up in the great lakes towards the end of the GEFS run? Temps are pretty much normal by day 16th on GEFS which might be problematic as we get to the end of February
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
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I'm starting to grow inpatient lol but with this look we have to get something I would think at some point between Feb 15 and March 15. That's a pretty classic look for us.