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Chris78

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Everything posted by Chris78

  1. I'm going to move this to Banter but I've seen this scenario slide south of my yard plenty of times during the last 5 years or so. Ji is a little further south than me but I'm much more worried about suppression for Northern MD than being to amped. I don't think we're out of the woods yet. Now DC south should be feeling pretty confident. Here's to hoping we all get shallacked with 1' to 2' with temps in the teens.
  2. Hopefully that stops. The last 2 runs have actually cut back. It's not bad but I don't want it trending any further south. Edit: My bad. I was actually looking at the EuroAI not it's ensembles but still need it to stop the south shift..
  3. Probably better than 10:1 ratios for alot of the storm
  4. Looks to be a snow to ice scenario. Surface temps are plenty cold but 850s are torching
  5. The good news is both AI models actually went The other way and was more amped at 18z compared to 12.
  6. Lots of 3 word replys in the long range.
  7. Does the EPS like any other windows or is it mostly from the 1/25-27 period?
  8. Greyhat has to be a troll account lol.
  9. After I looked at the 00z euro and 6z gfs I thought the same thing. Hopefully we can cash in. If not we're waiting till the cold relaxes, which probably puts us into the beginning of February lol.
  10. I know what your saying. Our sensible weather is very different between the 2 models but in the grand scheme there really pretty close overall. Both have a significant Winter storm in the east in the day 8 - 10 time frame.
  11. Poor western areas again this morning. Snow ANUS of the region.
  12. Coating here in Thurmont. Maybe 1/4 of an inch.
  13. Even the Euro knows the I -81 corridor is the snow Anus of the mid Atlantic. More snow north ,south,east and west.
  14. I'd rather be in this spot a week out than everything running NW of us. I hear what your saying. I'd rather have the wiggle room though
  15. Thats awesome. I'd rather have the EPS show that rather than the GEFS
  16. Most of this snow mean is from next Friday through Monday. About 3". I don't have the individual members but the mean continues to have a nice slug of moisture through the Tennessee Valley. Definitely a reason to be cautiously optimistic for next weekend.
  17. I'm hugging it. Rgem is a good model right?
  18. He'll im not even talking about big dogs lol. Snow in general is hard in these parts. Altesst the last 8 to 10 years...
  19. Only took 300 hours but it finally gets us. Although overall the run is colder and there's some close calls prior to this. This combined with the ensembles in this time frame I think should give some optimism. It's never easy for snow in these parts lol.
  20. The dgex model would be showing a Blizzard from Birmingham to Maine.
  21. Yes. It's a very technical term.
  22. The I -81 corridor has been the snow anus of the mid Atlantic for the last several years now.
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