Yanksfan

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Nasty today. Only 51 degrees here right now. 

Not much to talk about for awhile. Finally in a dry pattern. Maybe just a shower on Wednesday. Pretty much just normal temps (maybe slightly below a couple days) for late April over the next week with highs in the 60s. Boring weather ahead, but I'm ok with boring for awhile after all the rain we've had in recent months. 

I would settle for boring hopefully the next couple of weeks. Our rivers and streams deserve a much needed break. Besides I got a hunch we’re going to deal with a couple of tropical threats this summer with a hyperactive hurricane season looming.

1 hour ago, George001 said:

The subsurface is already down to around -.8C, early signs appear to be pointing to a strong event.

It won’t matter if it’s moderate or strong for how next winter turns out for our area without a dominate  -NAO.

35 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

High potential of tropical moisture making it up this way.

Hate to be callous but if it refuses to snow then bring on the destruction of a cat 3 tropical cyclone instead.

46 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

A nice rainstorm

Lovely

These past two winters have really tested my patience. Reminds me of the 1980’s growing up. Hoping for a more relaxed Pacific jet next year or the torture will continue for us snow enthusiasts.

36 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I posted this in the la nina thread

unfortunately we have been talking about ocean acidification and a mass extinction event (which we have already started), it's happened in the past, where up to 90% of life on the planet goes extinct as nature is trying to balance things out.

ocean hypoxia is quite frightening, can you imagine all that life dying wow

reaching temperature thresholds like 1.5 C and 2.0 C are the wrong things to talk about, the real danger is a runaway chemical process after reaching a tipping point or threshold and that runaway chemical process is what will cascade into something we can never come back from.

 

the problem is not simply of temperatures, but of a runaway cascading chemical process from which there is no return

 

Sometimes I wonder why Venus ended up the way that it is with a run away greenhouse. Are we starting to go down that ugly road? Scary thoughts.

3” in Nutley township. 13” for the season. Hoping for a grand finale snow bomb next week.

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

Pretty much right where we want this as far as low placement goes. Is the SREF picking up on a trend for a more amped solution? It’ll be interesting what the other meso models have to say later this evening.

WTF snowman calling for snow? I must be in a parallel universe.

6 inches in Nutley township. Good storm. 

As of 8AM 3.5” snowing heavily. Hoping for double digits.

1 minute ago, Volcanic Winter said:

Looks like they’re being very cautious expanding the WSW / WWA’s southward which suggests low confidence in the models depicting a great CNJ - NYC hit and or just a very conservative approach until right before game time given the shifts. Curious ultimately how hard they bite in the next few hours. 

I live in Nutley township and I’m under a winter storm watch for 5-8”. Just a mere 3 mile drive into Clifton it’s a warning for 7-10”. Talk about being on the fence!

17 minutes ago, 2wheelin said:

Show me how you get maps on your Atari 2600 lol

Man I loved that game console when I was a kid.

32 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Seeing the usually amped up Rgem & Nam south is a good sign. 

RGEM brings suppression back into play, although it’s an extreme outlier.

27 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

I have no clue why meteorologists go so conservative at times.

Lee did mention it’s subject to change during the weekend.

9 minutes ago, Northof78 said:

EURO better, stronger storm, colder solution

Some of the posters in here are living and dying with clown maps. If anything the 12Z is an improvement over 00z. Euro didn’t make any north shift, it’s more amped and the precip field is more expansive. What’s the problem?

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

It might but not too far north.  Accumulating snow is definitely on the table.

Unless the Euro does something unforeseen in a few minutes, I think the GFS and EURO are starting to hone in on a solution. CMC and UKIE seems lost to me at the moment, but slowly starting to join the party.

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Yep several inches 

Snow map please.

8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Why is the enthusiasm so low though?

Is everyone taking a wait and see approach?

Looking to see how much multimodel support there is for this.

Speaking from a snow weenie’s perspective like myself, there’s been so many head fakes and disappointments the last two seasons that I’m waiting for the proverbial rug to get pulled out from me once again. I know eventually the snow drought in NYC proper will end (I live in NE Jersey), but until that happens I can’t help but to have a skeptical approach with each threat that shows up.

9 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Several factors lining up for a potentially very active Atlantic hurricane season. 
 

 

 

 

Holy crap. 2005 redux in the making!

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

If the pattern doesn’t produce a widespread MECS or HECS with those tellies and a southern jet on steroids, we both need to find a new hobby.

Just incredible. It refuses to snow in the NE quadrant of NJ into the city the past two years. I’m dumbfounded.

6Z GFS is a tick colder.

Meh, I’ll wait till the overnight runs on Friday before I buy into this. Far too often these thread the needle deals goes poof on us although at this early juncture it’s always good to have the CMC/EURO on board. 

11 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Can someone please change my name back. Thank you.

Don’t worry Ant. I just took one for the team. I’m no longer NutleyBlizzard.

Nam thumps parts of the area with 6”+.