H2O

Just not any consistency between modes yet. Euro hasn’t budged much since yesterday but even its snow jackpot changed. GFS jumpy as well with huge shift last night. It had support tho. 
 

models still trying to resolve western energy and confluence and until they do it’s gonna be a back and forth. 
 

Wxmeddler said it best with models trying to also put low pressures along the baroclinic zone in the ATL. 

I shoveled my grass

Its not starting a thread that killed the storm.  It was me.  I'm the rogue shortwave.  

I took down all my Xmas stuff yesterday and today I tested out my new battery powered weed eater by trimming up all my wild onions in the yard.  They were sticking up like Sideshow Bob's hair and I didn't want the yard to look ugly when it snowed.  

So my bad y'all

The 3 models you beat were the CRAS, NAM and ICON.  Nothing to brag about, bro

14 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

@WxUSAFwrote

if there is anything I've learned over the years it is how we excel that exact scenario. - that one year (I don't recall which one) where every post of psuhoff for months was about how the waves were juuuuuuuusssttt close enough to rob each other of being a storm and we ended up in between with nothing - it was comical how well we failed in whatever year/pattern that was. 

No larger point, which is why i have this in banter, but rogue shortwaves showing up to murder a threat is one of our hilarious go to moves. 

Hessians never worried about rain snow lines

He sucks at clock management

1 minute ago, Terpeast said:

More like, its the end of the first quarter and we’re down 14-3. We did get a field goal on Dec 11. Still plenty of game left 

But what if Ron Rivera is your coach?

I'm worried about the cloud cover to not give us enough instability for storms Sunday afternoon

GFS is really hanging back some energy in the SW that allows the lead wave spacing and that goes straight N

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

It’s wild. And parsing ICON data is wild to me. That model is terrible. 

This is because the ICON nailed Sandy 

6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

JI Melts is basically a free square. Almost cheating 

So is EJ.  It can be used as a drinking game too.  The goal of making it was to win or get shitfaced.  either way its a win

NAM at range.  Filling my bingo card fast

Until the GFS sorts out its inland low to coastal setup, the concern over temps for I95 E will remain for the next few days. Euro would be great but expect even it to move the 850 0C line a lot. 
 

Hope us lowlanders can get a decent snow out of this. 

Rainstorm was also well known for wishing TUTTs on every tropical storm, every snow storm, every storm.

 I think I remember that.  Not a shining moment but we all had those back in the day.  I was awful at model pbp and gave that up.  We treated those that paid for the euro back then as gods because they held the keys to any storm.

Eastern is where I learned how to root for SNE to get screwed by suppression and how intense regional wars can be.  And that bigfoot is real.  Eastern is where I also learned Ji doesn't know where he lives.  And still doesn't

DT is or was an energy met with a very short temper and dislike of people questioning his knowledge. He’s arrogant but smart too. He can teach well but holy fuck he can get unglued. 
 

I don’t miss him because he said awful shit to many here and some who I consider close friends. It was unacceptable 

1 minute ago, cbmclean said:

"Ian" is the same person as DT?

No. Oh no. Ian was a weenie like us who learned and took that into other weather ventures. He wrote books too. Good ones

I’m part of the old guard from the previous board that was EasternWX. I joined that officially in 2008 but had lurked for a year or two prior. I knew nothing back then and just read the board. And that was before subforums. Storm threat threads covered the whole EC. So you had people freaking out over temps from NC while SNE high fived knowing they would get crushed. 
 

But some here even predate Eastern amd go back to WWBB. Now those are old timers. 
 

I’ve known Randy and Leesburg Aldie for a long time. Met many at conferences and gtgs. Would be happy to meet y’all some more. 

Just now, Terpeast said:

For fun - 138h sounding at KIAD in the middle of the storm

Now do DCA. Lol

@WxUSAFstorm mode after tonight?  Thread is getting bad

6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

What’s nice to see is that the guidance is getting more uniform with a respectable high and confluence to our north. Makes the airmass much less marginal heading into the weekend. Euro has lows in the low 20s Friday morning with dews in the low-mid 10s. Mid 20s Saturday morning. @clskinsfan mentioned this above. Differences in the solutions now seem more on how the 2 shortwaves interact. 

For the lowlands you need a bit more help tho.  Like cold temps Sat morning is great, low dews as well.  But you need cloud cover to come in quick and cap warming.  Too much sun will warm and that cold bleed down over the fall line then takes forever.  Been there before.  Not gonna fret over thermals 4 days out just yet.

Two camps right now.  Either a weak miller B with temp issues for 95 and NW wins, or Miller A that can shift to have temp issues for 95 and NW wins.  

Basically NW wins.