BombsAway1288

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Very weird track

I'm rooting for the gefs

I think we all are but it’s probably not happening. At this point we might as well hope for it to be in the best possible spot to somehow help downstream for any other threat. That might be a lost cause too. Lights out

12 minutes ago, yoda said:

Yikes. Expect the Euro to be similar. Not a great 0z suite but better than the 12z I guess

It’s everything vs. GEFS

19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

My whole point was that they seemed clueless bc they were simply chasing the OP, but this is the first suite that they aren't...that is all. I don't expect a foot of snow. Jesus, starting to think the less one says on here the better.

Kind of took the useless post to heart when you put it that way. it's all good, like you, was speaking in frustration.

Hopefully a plowable front end for everyone, just not a major blizzard 

28 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

The part about the NAVGEM being part of the "big three" is what makes me think it's just a trolling deal. Anyone who follows weather models even the slightest bit here knows the NAVGEM is not a legit model for the kind of storms we are talking about.

23 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

I wouldn’t necessarily characterize it as trolling but instead excessive optimism for a specific weather outcome.

It's delusional is what it is. The grandiose, unrealistic ideas that come with every post is nuts. Getting the NAV out of your top 3 would be a good start to reform 

12 minutes ago, George001 said:

Go ahead and keep looking at the GFS, it’s full of shit. There can and will be a monster blizzard somewhere in New England with a low that powerful. Liking big blizzards doesn’t make me a goddamn infant, idk what to tell you. Also remember last December? The same storm that was modeled to cut into Wisconsin ended up at roughly this lead time ended up giving Boston a foot? 

Thank you, I will keep looking at the GFS. Pretty good model. You know damn well that if it did show a BM track with a "blizzard" to the coast you would be all over posting about how good it's been since its upgrade and how that'll be the final solution.

You're right, liking them doesn't make you child but saying that they're gonna happen with EVERY SINGLE piece of energy that exits the east coast, just like you do, does in fact make you a child. I remember being in middle school too, hearing a storm of some sort was on the horizon and thinking "wow! major blizzard!!!!!" These were my thoughts as a 12 y/o and obviously this is how you think now at whatever age you're at. Sad. Here's some advice for you, grow up and get a grip!

36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Well, in all fairness,  there could still be a monster snowstorm somewhere in New England out of this system, it just might not meet blizzard criteria.

Exactly what I was trying to say. Really big snowstorm? Maybe. Blizzard? Not happening and shouldn't be thrown around here like it's even a 50/50 chance of happening at this point

8 minutes ago, George001 said:

I’m thinking based on a blend of the big 3, we see a low track over Long Island and then go inland a bit into se mass, like a March 2017 type track. In my area, that means heavy snow to mix to rain. It’s a bit disappointing that it’s not all snow, but it is what it is. This happens sometimes in la ninas, the risk is storms running too far inland leading to rainier solutions, but hey I’ll take that over not having a low at all or watching DC get 2 feet while we get nothing. I’m probably gonna get a sloppy foot, im a little bummed about it because of what could have been, but that’s better than nothing. The NNE guys though I think they will be very happy with this outcome, it would be a monster blizzard up there.

My god with the ridiculous hyperbole. There is not going to be a "monster blizzard" anywhere in NE. Give it rest already. You must be like 13 y/o or something

5 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

I'm thinking my met in Connecticut is riding the GFS camp. His forecast right now for Monday is heavy snow turning into Heavy Rain with a couple of inches of snow... But he did say at the end that things could change as there are still 4/5 days until this storm. Not looking at the ensembles I guess

As he shouldn't be in this type of storm apparently. 

No reason to not follow the GFS op. It has led the way WRT the other models up until this point. They all follow the GFS. Kind of been like that for a while now anyway. 

If the op makes a major move east then I guess we would be back in the heavy snow game but for now, it's lights out for this "threat".

8 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Are you new here?

No but things are contradicting. Are we to use the ens at this lead time for this type of storm or not?

We were told the ens were utterly useless for this type of storm. Don't think we should be getting excited cause they're not running over central PA.  Can't have it both ways when they suddenly jack ones backyard

6 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

GGEM is strange at the other extreme.  Has a similar track to the GFS but all the action is to its east.

 

 

 

 

OTS is a real concern for the Monday event. Heck, it's a real concern for all the threats.

39 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, the snow is mainly gone in Chelsea..just patches. How I have more left when several less fell is beyond me. Didn't think it was much milder here yesterday....

It wasn't. High was 41 with only about 18 hours above freezing and overcast all day. Amazing how quickly it all went yesterday. Shows how fluffy it was. It compacted pretty good and quickly on Friday-Saturday, then the dews took care of the rest on Sunday I guess. 

Fastest I've seen 10" vanish without extreme high temps

8 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

In MD, many school bus drivers are older retirees who do it part time and it seems many of them opted to simply stop in 2020 given all of the uncertainty and virus risk. Two of my wife’s uncles fall into this category. Hard to find younger folks who want to work those kind of hours. 

Yeah, it's a perfect job for a retiree that wants to stay active and is awake super early anyway.

I think the real issue is the pay for a job with a lot of responsibilities. If they offered something like $20/hr then I think staffing issues would be no more.

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Our bus company has been very short staffed.  

Bus companies all over the country are severely short staffed, crossing guards too. 

Hard to entice people when you're only offering ~$15/hr part-time, especially in this expensive area.

15 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

It might also be because lots of delays with school buses, due to driver absences, so they don't want kids standing in the cold for too long.

Yeah, that's probably more the issue. Good catch. If this happens in 2019 maybe they don't close or just a delay. Was just caught off guard due to not so bad wind chills and temps only down to the single digits and not below 0, at least inside of 128

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Starting to close schools up here for tomorrow as well.

Boston schools closed for the cold tomorrow 

I guess in previous years this would be surprising but with today's age of remote learning pushed on us by the pandemic, it's not that surprising.

Snowcover is basically gone in Chelsea despite only 15 hours above freezing maxing out at 41 with overcast all day. 10” basically compacted down to nothing and quick lol

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

It looks like the ASOS may have undermeasured the actual liquid equivalent of the snow. The NWS has noted this at certain ASOS stations in the past  during heavy snows. Other North Shore observers picked up nearly .50 of precipitation

 

https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/96964b6457794d2196dff24d68d4688d

 

Sometimes the Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) can struggle to melt snow for liquid equivalent in heavier snowfall. 

 

Station Number: NY-QN-39	Station Name: Little Neck 0.3 SE
Observation Date	1/7/2022 7:00 AM
Submitted	1/07/2022 7:22 AM
Total Precip Amount	0.49 in.
Notes	27° snow reading 7:10 AM
Taken at registered location	Yes
Snow Information
New Snow Depth	7.8 in.
New Snow Water Equivalent	0.49 in.

 

Station Number: NY-NS-42	Station Name: Albertson 0.2 SSE
Observation Date	1/7/2022 7:30 AM
Submitted	1/07/2022 8:27 AM
Total Precip Amount	0.44 in.
Notes	--
Taken at registered location	Yes
Snow Information
New Snow Depth	7.5 in.
New Snow Water Equivalent	0.51 in.
Total Snow Depth	7.5 in.
Total Snow Water Equivalent	0.51 in.

Thanks. Didn't even know this was an issue. LGA was likely closer to 20:1 or less. Still very impressive for being down on the water basically.

What were the ratios at LGA for this? 30:1?

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm pretty much in line with the other 3 sites. I should gone into work in Chelsea...they probably had like 10" lol

We did! .

10.1 final here.

Good call @qg_omega

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It was exhilarating hearing CT bitch about AEMATT for the past week, Ebay route to 2-3 times as much snow as I got.

6in is nothing to be disappointed at and well within your forecast.

I'm sure you'll clean up over 95% of SNE by April. Climo FTW for you.

Main roads/highways are in great shape for such a big snowfall. 

Great positive bust here. Was not expecting to be approaching double digits

Over 9" in Chelsea.

Me thinks Logan has to be close to double digits by now and still coming down.

Hi /r/boston! I completed my cross stitch temperature chart of 2021! : boston (reddit.com)

This is pretty cool. Wish they used some more contrasting colors though. 

23 hours ago, dendrite said:

Can anyone else confirm this? I find this many strikes near the pole hard to believe.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/05/world/lightning-increased-north-pole-arctic-2021-climate/index.html

 

Yeah, that's a strange one considering the 80th degree latitude just encompasses the northern 8th of Greenland and some Canadian islands. I could see that area get a few dozen strikes a year but not thousands upon thousands. It's either correct but my money is on faulty equipment