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Posts posted by Jed33

  1. 1 minute ago, 1234snow said:

    Had a few squalls here but nothing more than a dusting. North east of Gate City has 2-3 inches as multiple squalls have trained all morning.

    Sun is now out.

    That’s how it is here. Can never really get more than about 1/4in total bc the sun comes out and melts it. It sure is pretty to look at. Too bad it’s not after dark as the sun wouldn’t be melting it. My temp fell back down to 30 degrees in that last squall that just came through! 

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  2. Have a solid dusting on rooftops, cars, and grass. Temp is doing a similar thing here and I wonder if it may be due to the dewpoint increasing as moisture moves in. That in turn is increasing the temperature. Then when the moisture moves out, the dewpoint falls back a degree and temp goes down. For instance, when it was snowing a few min ago, I was at 30 degrees with a dp between 29/30. Now that it’s stopped, I’m at 29 dp 28. Just a thought

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  3. JAN has a very detailed afd this AM about the system. Mentions that this is a non traditional setup for snow with the Sfc low in the gulf and the upper and mid level lows displaced to the north. This is “throwing off” as they say, many of the normal winter storm conceptual models. The afd goes on to talk about a lot of the other unusual things related to this system. Worth a read, even if it doesn’t impact your area, as there is a lot of interesting wording there. 

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  4. Don’t look now, but the RGEM at 0z is trying to stretch the snow NE even into E TN now. Light event, but at 18z it didn’t have that. Used to be, when you’d see these depictions like this, you’d know that it would move into NE MS northeastward through N AL and into E TN. So, I’ve kept this in the back of my mind so far and wondered about it. Now, it may have been a fluke run, as nothing else really shows that much frozen. However, I think the euro and NAM, to a degree have been toying with that idea. So, for what it’s worth, here’s the 0z RGEM.



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  5. 31 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

    Looks pretty on NT Microphysics GOES 16 imagery:



    I am a fan of the low level NE flow evident over WV and KY

    It’s always good to have a NE flow when your looking for snow! At least it seems to be.

  6. 3 minutes ago, John1122 said:

    The GFS will probably shift back West some like the NAM did. Though it may wait until tomorrow. 

    Knowing the GFS, it probably won’t find it tonight. For the Christmas storm, it literally took it till the day before, before it began to understand what was going to happen. Really it was 12z the day of the event before it fully caught on. That model struggles so bad these days!

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