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Nibor

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Everything posted by Nibor

  1. Let's see how far south the mix line goes.
  2. It's not an accident that it was correct on the warm nose. Nobody pointing out the NAM was saying anything about snowfall north of the city.
  3. Just to their northeast it's snow so they might flip back over shortly.
  4. Mix line by Binghamton seems to be crashing. Maybe a precursor for our area.
  5. I think along and north of 84 could see some double digits. Wouldn’t be surprised if a few come in on Long Island.
  6. Because we treat model runs like they’re Vietcong positions.
  7. It could also be overdone. It's just something to watch.
  8. This is from their discussion: Soundings depict a warm nose above H7 that if slightly undermodeled, could allow for more in the way of ice pellets, particularly for NYC and points south and west. This potential is currently not expected to impact snow accumulations, but will have to be monitored. I'm just flagging something that should give pause
  9. I don't think anyone would argue against a decent snowfall before a change over. Some here, as is tradition, are looking at snow maps and not soundings setting themselves up for disappointment.
  10. Even though it's been erratic it still shows a warm nose. The NAM for all its flaws scores well when mid levels can taint the precip. Could it be wrong? Sure, and I'm hoping it is but it'd be foolish not to take it into account.
  11. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad Save for later
  12. EWR: 5.2 JFK: 4.8 LGA: 6.8 MMU: 4.1 POU: 11.3 HPN: 7.6 Upton: 7.2 KNYC: Trace
  13. It's still showing a substantial warm nose leading to sleet. Everyone should keep that in mind.
  14. Idk maybe during that one frame the mid levels just really juice TF up.
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