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Nibor

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Everything posted by Nibor

  1. Nibor
    Everyone knows this is where the real storm thread exists
  2. Nibor
    If in an area with a Hurricane Warning you should expect hurricane force winds.
  3. Nibor
    I might be wrong but Katrina was a pretty large storm when it was cat 5. Milton is still small, relatively. Has time to gain size.
  4. Nibor
    Two different recon planes, two passes, 903.5 and 902.5. Maybe Milton has plateaued?
  5. Nibor
  6. Nibor
    Wild seeing those pink colors slowly creep into a circle over the CDO.
  7. Nibor
    Can’t believe I was too conservative.
  8. Nibor
    Recon seems to have done a loop just outside of the southern eyewall.
  9. Nibor
    Northern part of the CDO expanding creating a more symmetrical look now.
  10. Nibor
    Even if it hits the Yucatán it has plenty of time to regain strength. It’ll pass right over the loop current afterwards.
  11. Nibor
    Last 8 hours of IR to show trajectory.
  12. Nibor
    Both HAFS A and B track a bit further north of the Yucatan this run.
  13. Nibor
    Big convective blow up in the past hour or so.
  14. Nibor
    Guess peak intensity. Cat 5, 917 mb, 165 mph
  15. Nibor
    Something to note these 00z hurricane model runs were closer to the Yucatan.
  16. Nibor
    I don't remember the last time a hurricane model had an Atlantic storm modeled that low. This is some 3k nam stuff.
  17. Nibor
    HAFS A also goes Cat 5 post ERC.
  18. Nibor
    12z HWRF actually models a small storm that undergoes an ERC and expansion. I wouldn't count on a small hurricane like Charley.
  19. Nibor
  20. Nibor
  21. Nibor
    https://appalachiantrail.org/news/hurricane-helenes-impacts-on-the-appalachian-trail-and-nearby-communities/ This is tangentially related to everything going on with the catastrophe. The Appalachian Trail Conservancy is saying this is the worst natural disaster to impact the AT in it's 100 years of existence. It's not just the trail itself but the "trail towns" along its route. The AT is such an integral culture along these mountain towns and it will never be the same.
  22. Nibor
    Okay IDK if this is related but there was an insane amount of gnats down at Astoria Park this evening. I rarely ever deal with bugs there.
  23. Nibor
  24. Nibor
    This guy is the definition of fake it till you make it.
  25. Nibor
    I said earlier this has the potential to be what Irene was for the White Mountains of NH.
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