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Nibor

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Everything posted by Nibor

  1. I wish. There's a gaggle of insufferables that inhabit this place.
  2. Some minor differences really change things for us. Gonna be tiring watching the models tomorrow.
  3. Euro is gonna be a little bit east this run. Trough axis is a little too east and the western ridge isn't as amped.
  4. 0z GFS stalls basically on the benchmark hrs 87-90
  5. That trailing northern stream shortwave came in right in time on the GFS.
  6. Looks like not all the energy from the northern stream phased.
  7. And the bust was a rug pull within 24 hours. Horrendous.
  8. In my old stomping grounds the biggest bust was Jan 2015. Interestingly, that one was a Euro bust to the GFS.
  9. Substantial changes at 500 mb on the EPS.
  10. The shift towards the GFS evolution at 500 mb is pretty substantial.
  11. At hr 51 more phasing on the euro...
  12. AI euro is west. Not as good as the GFS but it brings sizeable qpf especially to the Jersey Shore and eastern Long Island.
  13. Where those two pieces of energy at the bottom of the trough complete their phase determines everything. Earlier, we get hit. Later it’s out over the ocean.
  14. Imagine what he’ll become the day he gets a big one right? *Shudders*
  15. You’d probably get something similar to the gfs.
  16. A near miss/scraper has been the most likely outcome for some time now.
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