Nibor
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Everything posted by Nibor
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Because we treat model runs like they’re Vietcong positions.
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It could also be overdone. It's just something to watch.
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This is from their discussion: Soundings depict a warm nose above H7 that if slightly undermodeled, could allow for more in the way of ice pellets, particularly for NYC and points south and west. This potential is currently not expected to impact snow accumulations, but will have to be monitored. I'm just flagging something that should give pause
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I don't think anyone would argue against a decent snowfall before a change over. Some here, as is tradition, are looking at snow maps and not soundings setting themselves up for disappointment.
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Even though it's been erratic it still shows a warm nose. The NAM for all its flaws scores well when mid levels can taint the precip. Could it be wrong? Sure, and I'm hoping it is but it'd be foolish not to take it into account.
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https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=DIX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0C-1-24-100-usa-rad Save for later
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Bullish!
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EWR: 5.2 JFK: 4.8 LGA: 6.8 MMU: 4.1 POU: 11.3 HPN: 7.6 Upton: 7.2 KNYC: Trace
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It's still showing a substantial warm nose leading to sleet. Everyone should keep that in mind.
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Not the warm nose. Sleetfest.
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Idk maybe during that one frame the mid levels just really juice TF up.
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Someone down near Philly is gonna get like 3 inches of sleet from this
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We all know you’re one of us. Have a seat.
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Was just talking to a colleague that directs over there. He said it’s actually one of his favorite places to work because there’s a lot of young people excited about the content. Glad it translates to the viewer.
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There’s a few former TWC people at Fox Weather including Mike Seidel and Bryan Norcross.
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I bet a few board members here act the same.
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Pft, immediate metro? My geographical understanding is the arctic circle starts at the Tappan Zee bridge. If I have to take a dog sled to your location that’s not immediate.
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Most normies I talk to whenever I talk snow seem to understand Manhattan is a different beast when it comes to snowfall. I think there’s plenty of value in measuring at Central Park within the urban environment. Just wish the people doing it had some sense of urgency when it comes to accuracy.
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I work on the 9th floor of my building in lower Manhattan. You could look out the window and see snow at that height. Albeit certainly mixed with rain. On the ground it was just rain. I’ve witnessed this a few times. Definitely heat island.
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Forky was cryptically bullish on the pattern when he chimed in a few days ago. Rjay outed him in the banter thread from the last snowfall.
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Fun to look at.
