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apm

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Everything posted by apm

  1. apm
    And that correct. The radar is actually overstating the snow rates now in a big way.
  2. apm
    It did ramp down dramatically around here at that time... perhaps it was an unlucky coincidence, but haven't seen that effect before.
  3. apm
    It's a good explanation, but the ground truth says it's not an artifact. Visibility has gone up to over a mile here just west of Boston. It really has petered out already.
  4. apm
    Impressive that the NHC is sticking with such high formation probabilities on this with the Euro dismissing it and it looking like its a long way from getting its act together. I would take the under on 90% in five days for sure.
  5. apm

    May Discussion

    apm replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England

    Those Mount Washington obs have been formidable for quite while now... https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=Kmwn
  6. apm
    Guess the front was pushed off shore:
  7. apm
  8. apm
    The duration did seem mighty suspicious. Plus there was no such anomalous forcing...
  9. apm
    Whoosh! (ahem, pardon the pun)
  10. apm
    I'm guessing the lift was closed.
  11. apm
    If that's accurate, those have to be historic obs even for that elevation.
  12. apm
    It's not too bad:
  13. apm
    And more to the East...
  14. apm
    EPS are skewed to a whiff too (e.g., 0Z, 6Z....)
  15. apm
    There are some monster solutions among the members.
  16. apm
    Some eye candy from last night's runs.
  17. apm
    Snowing very nicely now in Cambridge, visibility under 1/2 mile.
  18. apm
    Yeah, weak sauce.
  19. apm
  20. apm
    Pray tell?
  21. apm
    Wow, it's still there at 18Z!
  22. apm
    Indeed, but usually those false depictions disappear after a run or two. It has depicted this coastal low for at least 8 runs in a row, with generally increasing intensity. As Tip says, it'll make the bust all the more egregious. or could it be...? Nah.
  23. apm
    Say what you will about the FV3 (and the disparagement is generally warranted), but it has been eerily steadfast with this...
  24. apm
    Wow, check these series of obs. Not bad for a major metropolitan area: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KDEN
  25. apm
    Different time periods...
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