bwt3650

Yeah, it’s great.  Just stuffed with pow.  Digging trenches.

Crazy good conditions…but a power failure and winds took out all the upper mountain lifts today. Should have driven down.


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The main January thread has gone to absolute shit. Time to retreat to the NNE thread. Down to 2°, I think that’s my lowest of the season so far. Thats the one thing that bugs me about my Ambient weather station, it will give weekly, monthly and yearly highs and lows but I can’t go back month to month. It doesn’t keep that type of record. I don’t think it got any colder in November or December but I’m not 100% sure. 

Yeah, it’s winter here so no need to post about snow and cold in there and get people fired up. So many good posters, but a few people know how to bring the whole thing down. I don’t want to take the bait and turn into a d bag like it’s easy to do sometimes. Anyway, 1 degree, light snow all day and a 3 foot pack. Blustery, deep winter day.


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Caked…




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It is beyond good out there right now. The last 18” or so is pure powder fluff and the woods are absolutely loaded with the light mid week traffic. Has to be some 3 foot stashes. Groomers are soft and carvable on top with a firm, groomed in hard layer underneath. Almost all trails have powder banks along the sides. The wind wasn’t overwhelming today either, so 4 degrees on the lower mountain was very manageable, almost comfortable. Def recommend being careful in the woods and back country as winding up in a hidden gully or well could be tricky right now.







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Back to a winter pack in northern vermont…




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Rockin the pf roof…it’s getting deep out there.






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Couple consistent upslope signals showing up this weekend and early next week…





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Mount Snow was great yesterday. They have a ton open including some natural offerings. Groomers skied very well.  I never waited more than a minute in a lift line despite it starting to feel real busy around 9:30. Coldest morning I’ve skied in so far this season, around -2 up top with a decent amount of wind.
I’d say despite the rain and warm weather all things considered they are pretty close to what it would normally be mid Jan.
 
 

Completely agree with you. It’s gotten very mid winter like quickly. I always use mlk as the transition date from early season conditions and trails, to mid season form and this season seems on track.


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I posted this in the NYC Metro, but since I am on the border with New England, I figured this also applies.

Looking ahead at what if left of winter I think my prediction of an average snowfall season with warmer than average temperatures will bust on the snowfall. The warmer than average temperature I went +1 to +2 for winter overall, and I think that will also bust low. It really does look like winter will begin to unravel next week with a sea of warmth that likely takes us to mid-February. At that point the time is fully ticking for the southern northeast ski season. Most resorts, even to the north, have not sniffed being 100% open this year. I think the northern mountains will fair okay in February, but I think from I90 south it will be a tough go. 

That said it is completely insane to see how the media spins winter these days. Many are being gaslit into believing this is a “cold” winter. The media has been covering how frigid this winter has been, when it has been a week of cold for the vast majority of America. Yes, some record cold for sure, but winter has not been “cold”. 

The northern ski resorts not “sniffing” 100 percent open is factually incorrect. Jay is currently 100 percent open minus a park they are blowing and building on a few trails. They have been for most of the last week. They were 90-95 percent open in early December before the monsoons came.

Stowe is over 100 trails; killington 135 and even okemo over 100. Terrain will only expand over the next 10-14, with the first chance of wet/warmth a week away.

Dec 20th-jan 5th or so was pretty close to as bad as it gets, but the rebound has been swift and the snowstake is above average currently and only trailing 2018 recently.


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Initial offerings from BTV for this weekend are a bit more paltry than the last storm. There does appear to be a significantly better upslope setup than what we are experiencing right now, so accumulation should continue in favored zones beyond this point on Sunday.

Looks like a great upslope pattern setting up over the next ten days beyond this storm. I bet we clean up on some under the radar events.


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Wife wants to go to Breton woods instead of cranmore. Yay me. Can discounts for tickets be found anywhere or is it laughable to even try to find any?

Jay next year..4 packs of lift tix shareable $279 w/no blackouts.


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Windham…some rare powder bumps on East peak. Great conditions for the Catskills with lots of guns going all day.







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Lift lines in the Poconos when it hasn’t snowed in a year…




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2” down here.

At least we can say it’s not last year after tonight.


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Combine good snow growth with sticky surface temperatures near 30-32F, those flakes link up and become potato chips, trapping air and accumulating rapidly.

A poster in the NYC forum has pictures showing about 6” in just over 90 minutes near Poughkeepsie..it’s been dumping here in nj, but the ratios are just so poor. 32 and heavy snow under one of those bands. Would be great base building stuff up north.


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Ripping in Poughkeepsie and the heavy band hasn't even reached yet. Eyeballing ~7" on my back deck.
There was maybe an inch at 9PM..
 
 
 

Those are some crazy rates.


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4-5 otg at around 600’ in hunterdon county. Multiple occasions where it flipped/mixed with sleet and battled back to snow. It is absolute cement..7:1 maybe?


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Radar looks like beast mode . 4-6 “ in NJ and SNY already . Overperformer 

The snow is hanging tough..several times tonight went over to sleet and battled back to heavy snow. A little elevation is probably helping. This is the heaviest cement you can imagine. Probably up around 5 fell and already compacting.


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Where in Jersey are you?

Hunterdon county, about 600’. About an inch an hour for last 2.


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I think we do pretty well…all modeling has us 8 plus all the time. You enjoy too. 

Good luck…I’m down in jersey for this one and there’s almost 4 otg, so hopefully it thumps and ct does 8-12


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That would be the death blow to ski season. NH resorts already teetering.

There is no such thing as a death blow to ski season in the first week of January. It’s been an absolutely awful last 10-14 days, but we average almost 200” from here on out. Plenty of season left for the northeast, and especially northern Vermont. Things are looking up all over NE compared to last year right now. You’re looking to get a nice start this weekend.


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41 minutes ago, cut said:

Thinking about making an unscheduled ski trip Monday to Thursday with the son before back to school so I am all over this. Thinking Okemo area to minimize the drive. Don't want to do 4.5 or 5 hours to get to Jay before getting in the car for the ride back to school.

Would recommend Okemo over Jay right now..Jay looks a little far north for the good stuff this weekend and will need at least a foot to get going the way it should be.  Trails are limited right now.  Okemo has done a great job blowing trails open and might cash in a little better in the next 7 days.  Might be the top choice for a bit.  Jay will be great again 10-14 from now if this pattern holds IMO.

1 hour ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Could see Wildcat crushing 

NH resorts are WAY overdue for a crushing.  

39 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That’s the kind of storm ski country needs to right the ship. Big qpf with some meat 

And no torches...keep building the pack.  Lots to like.

New Year and sanity is restored by something to track...feels good