bwt3650

Finished with between 4-5”.  Some light snow flying this morning, but nothing accumulating.

4 down give or take.  Ive been just far enough north to stay in the good bands.  Looks like a little Snow hole so far on radar just south toward Mansfield.

3k keeps precip going until late morning here.  That mix line looks close tho...be interesting to see how far down this is still snow.  If we hold on, should look good out there in the morning.  Still coming down strong.

Solid rates now.  1.5 to 2” down so far.  Much better ratios.  Radar looks good.

Starting to come down heavier now...might be some pellets mixed in so doesn’t seem like ratios will be great.  radar lighting up.  3k has close to a foot up here, but 6-8 sounds reasonable.  It would make for a decent morning.

8 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

They will rebuild. I heard groomers were sweet yesterday. Good snowmaking days.

It’s been ok.  The wind yesterday hurt the higher traffic areas, but yeah, at least snowmaking has saved it a little.  Still need this weekend bro work out or it’s going to be a tough week.  The snow is beat.

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Your looking at it from a skier's perspective with snow making, I'm looking at it from a snowmobiler's perspective and we need a couple decent storms.

If you ski off the groomers, we share the same issue.  We need a decent base put down.  What do you guys need to get things reliable on the snow mobile trails?  12-18?

Froude numbers between 1 and 2 tonight which looks like it favors us up here.  Just learning about this so someone else who knows better jump in, but I’m thinking this is a good signal for tonight after the initial burst of precipitation.

https://www.weather.gov/btv/froudeALL

58 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

The Monday storm is also coming into focus, starting to look pretty good for parts of NNE with some snow from the coastal. Could be a great three event sequence starting this evening.

Nam and rgem look to keep things real wintery over the next several days.  Starting today up here, Friday looks like the only day without significant snow in the air through Sunday.  The upslope signal looks good too and the weekend looks like it might stay all snow.  Maybe this is what finally gets us started.  Big chances from where this looked like it was headed Monday.

Most important take away from this weekend...it’s not the grinch all over.  

11 minutes ago, alex said:

Can we start a petition? We need that run to verify. I’m craving the glades! Glade West opened last week but of course closed back up after the rainstorm. Bretton Woods is not the same without the glades... 

oh and I love snow. 
 

 

 

I’m with you..just need a solid foot to get things going.  Jay might as well be hunter without the glades.

#skithewoods

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Radar never really shows Jay in the low level precip as the beam overshoots it, but I bet you’re doing well in this regime.

We actually have some sun coming out down south here now after some good pulses of snow.

I noticed radar is really bad up here.  I’ve been using the 400 zoom and just kind of following the pulse near Richford to see what’s coming but it’s a lot easier to see what’s going on toward Mansfield.  I’m guessing the weather underground out of Burlington is the best radar for around here.

tnrw night into weds looking kinda decent for our area down to Jspin.  

58 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

This wed/thu deal before the main storm is looking pretty damn potent on the mesos. 

Yeah, the 3k is really starting to light it up weds night with what looks like some serious upslope after the initial burst comes through.  Looks like maybe somehow we could squeeze out a 6 plus deal.  

Picked up close to 3” throughout the morning and early afternoon here at jay, but it didn’t do much to help.  Wind was kickin so everything was pretty firm.  The moving carpet on stateside that got blown over last week is apparently done and will have to be replaced over the summer.  Any other year that would have been devastating during Christmas week, but with the reduced capacity, can’t really notice it in the lesson pods.  The place isn’t busy by any stretch, but there’s people here which is good for them.  Really need NYD to work out up here to get things rolling. 

Deep winter day up here.  Steady light snow since about 8 with some heavier bursts and breezy.  Prob picked up 2 or so more inches.  Radar doesn’t show much but it’s been consistent.

2 minutes ago, J.Spin said:

Well, we’re starting to get some flakes from those streamers here along the spine now, so I guess there’s still a bit of snow to wring out.

 

We had a decent burst the last hour, more like a snow shower now.

Pretty amazing lake enhancement from Ontario makes it all the way up here with the daks in the way.  The tug hill wrings out all that moisture with such lower altitudes.  Last year I think that big late feb storm of over 30” up here was due in big part to Lake Ontario.  It would be interesting to see a breakdown of how many events have a lake enhancement and how many are true upslope only, although I guess the upslope moisture is frequently lake generated?

A little over an inch here this morning and currently light snow showers.  At least it looks like it should outside.

Starting to snow moderately again..looks like a decent band, better down towards Mansfield.  Maybe a quick inch or two tonight. 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Oh I remember it well. In fact I remember your post and was like, “holy phucking shit.” Couldn’t believe how bad it was.  And then you sort of went off the reservation and talked to Mt Mansfield about how it’s trying to do its job with orographics.... and it’s just not working.  

I’ve heard about the melts in here.  Perhaps it’s needed at this point.

18 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

The only thing that makes it ok is that the yard has had a surprising number of days of snow cover (not depth) for such an overall sh*t start to winter.  Several unexpected snowy days, but no big storms since Nov 2-3 when 10" fell.  That's almost two months ago at this point.

But then again there is this photo from the holiday period in 2015 when we opened the summer attractions (zip line tours actually launching from 3,600ft).  That winter of 15-16 is still tracking to be much worse, ha.

That is unbelievable..what trail is that?  Did you guys completely shut down the trails that year?  They are blowing the crap out of the mountain here just trying to keep things decent.  There have been a couple times it looked like they were primed for a decent expansion, but it never broke right.  The northern greens need it.

Man is that snow level close..went out to get beer down in Montgomery and it’s rain and 37.  Snow didn’t start back up until about 1500’.  Light snow currently.  Not sure tonight is going to be a big upslope winner. 

1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said:

2018 was my last ski days unfortunately.  4 back surgeries since but I live through you guys.   My opinion is you guys up there rock with winter this upcoming week.

Hopefully, you are feeling better.  Last night over-performed up here.  Close to 5 at 1850' and while not enough to get back to any natural trails, it def  made conditions much better than expected.  If we could score another 3-6 mon/tues and not have a NYD washout, with some decent back-end snows, we would be "ok" shape heading into a time where shit really has to go bad not start building a decent base up here.  We need one 12-18 storm to put the base down and then hopefully, upslope our way to reliable conditions.  So i strongly approve of your opinion for this week!

57 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

It's actually snowing fairly impressively now.  Visibility is definitely less than 1/4 mile.  Flake size is just about maximized, I'd bet 2"/hr rates pulses.

Didn't see this coming...heavy at times, wind blown powder falling.  3-4" maybe.  Not deep powder by any stretch, but it's more than just a little dust on crust and much better than expected.  

We did whiten it up a bit last night after a total washout.  The beginnings of the pack right here.