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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. T. August
    Euro ens is generally the same - 4-6” north to south.
  2. T. August
    Coming down on 3.5 which is really like 3
  3. T. August
    Also an inch of that north of Bmore is from tomorrow night. Overall it’s just a little dry. I like the orientation though.
  4. T. August
    At least tomorrow night looks interesting up your way. You and @mappy might get 1-2”.
  5. T. August
    I think we might have to be ok with another 3-4.9” storm
  6. T. August
    That was last night. We can start the push north now
  7. T. August
    Gefs is a little north but nothing crazy - definitely juiced. Top 0z bottom 18z
  8. T. August
    I’d argue the ICON and Canadian are both north of the euro, at least at the sfc. Just a guess but it wouldn’t surprise me if the euro came north a bit at 0z.
  9. T. August
    We can stop the push north now
  10. T. August
    You are correct
  11. T. August
    Seems to be the trend. I think the euro had like a 5-6pm start time
  12. T. August
    18z panels. Definitely introduces some full-on misses to the north.
  13. T. August
    About .5 of this is from Saturday’s deal -
  14. T. August
    18z also has a Sunday evening start time for DC/Baltimore vs early Monday on 12z
  15. T. August
    Chances of 3”+ edit: ninja’d sort of lol
  16. T. August
    Panels aren’t out yet but I assume the northern outliers have been reduced.
  17. T. August
    When they stop looking better than the op
  18. T. August
    Generally, although there are about 5 or so bad misses to the south like the op
  19. T. August
    Gefs 12z top 6z bottom. Does include .4-.5 from Saturday.
  20. T. August
    Except me lmfao
  21. T. August
    My one nitpick (you are probably happy with it) is the 6z eps and gefs now have a greater number of misses to the north for the dc/balt area. The extreme southern solutions are mainly off the table it seems, but it looks like a miss north has been added to the mix.
  22. T. August
    I take everything I said back. We can stop the north trend now
  23. T. August
    Yeah man it ain’t good lol
  24. T. August
    Starting to think Monday is dead north of Baltimore. Looks like every other event the past 4-5 years.
  25. T. August
    My point is that even in the areas that do well on this run, precip is cut back by about .3-.5”.
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