18z euro good for maybe a few inches on the front, then we most likely lose thermals.
edit: obviously it stops at 144, so just speculation. It might end up closer to 4ish inches.
GEFS a step back from 6z for the 12th. Hard to tell but snowfall mean looks cut in half. Probably warmer. Not suppressed like the op.
edit: some members are similar to the op. Overall the storm is just weaker.