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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. About .5 of this is from Saturday’s deal -
  2. 18z also has a Sunday evening start time for DC/Baltimore vs early Monday on 12z
  3. Panels aren’t out yet but I assume the northern outliers have been reduced.
  4. Generally, although there are about 5 or so bad misses to the south like the op
  5. Gefs 12z top 6z bottom. Does include .4-.5 from Saturday.
  6. My one nitpick (you are probably happy with it) is the 6z eps and gefs now have a greater number of misses to the north for the dc/balt area. The extreme southern solutions are mainly off the table it seems, but it looks like a miss north has been added to the mix.
  7. I take everything I said back. We can stop the north trend now
  8. Starting to think Monday is dead north of Baltimore. Looks like every other event the past 4-5 years.
  9. My point is that even in the areas that do well on this run, precip is cut back by about .3-.5”.
  10. I was looking at qpf. Can’t deny that it’s worse than 0z for 99% of us. Not trying to be a downer but it’s true.
  11. Euro is south. DC still does ok but north of Baltimore gets screwed hard.
  12. High of 60° yesterday with a low of 31.3°
  13. Too many cooks in the kitchen
  14. I know it’s still 7 days away, but I’m a bit surprised more people aren’t happy with the euro
  15. Rough 12z so far. I’m still hopeful for a 2-4” front end deal on the 6th. I don’t think that’s out of the question yet.
  16. Also the precip orientation is… odd? I guess it gets weird when the low redevelops?
  17. Snow hangs around for like 12 more hours lol. Another 1-1.5” for everyone.
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