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T. August

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Everything posted by T. August

  1. The gfs wasn’t bad for northern areas. 3-4”
  2. lol that was the worst one yet. Pretty much a non-event north of DC.
  3. For better or worse, I feel like it never actually matters lol
  4. Where’s @Ravens94 ? I need to hear how the radar is more amped than the HRRR sim shows at hour 16
  5. I vote 1.5 additional north moves like that
  6. Euro is a little north actually. End result is pretty similar down near DC but it’s better for northern areas
  7. Yeah I spoke too soon for sure. Great outcome verbatim, but it sucks that every model run that comes out is moving south 10-20 miles.
  8. Still passable for DC but ugly north
  9. Hopefully the GFS is right for you guys up there
  10. For the hell of it, this is what I’m guessing: BWI: 4.5” IAD: 5.4” DCA: 4.7” Then mby at 2.8” with 3-3.5” by mappy towards psu
  11. Rgem is similar but a little wetter. Hrrr at hour 1,000,000 was kind of like it too. edit: The DC area at a minimum gets ~4” on almost all guidance. So not a bad floor.
  12. The Chiefs were dismantled in front of a global audience last night
  13. 12z HRDPS is the closest we have gotten to a non-event so far. Doesn’t start until 8pm and peak rates are .5”/hr for a few hours. Total is 1-4” M/D line to DC. 5-6” SoMD through SBY.
  14. That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard.
  15. Yeah north of there looks like +.1” precip from the 6z run, so definitely better
  16. Looks similar to 6z with the distribution. Wetter down around DC though. Not sure how much of a difference it made north of bmore yet.
  17. DC can jack with 10-12” idgaf. I just want more than 3-4” for the literal 8th time in however many years.
  18. ^ICON looks reasonable/realistic. 5-6” DC area with 4ish Baltimore to the M/D line
  19. Rgem with the cave south. Worse Baltimore-north, better for DC.
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