HVSnowLover
-
Posts
2,952 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by HVSnowLover
-
Yea a 10-12 hour storm it's had to see producing these kinds of totals honestly but the rates on the CMC were extreme in these areas.
-
The CMC is a HECS for NNJ and the LHV. RGEM is a HECS for NYC Metro Getting even more wild.
-
Thats CMC factoring in ratios?
-
It's had 4 straight outlier runs ironically after it had the most tucked in NW run of any model yesterday at 18Z. I have no idea what to make of the gfs.
-
Wow at the rates on the CMC
-
GFS is not even warning level snow at HPN. That's not going to happen in this kind of setup.
-
GFS still not budging, this run might even be more surpressed.
-
Run is over. It's fine for the coast although crushes interior more.
-
Huge Hit
-
NAM looks like it will come in warm but we'll see. Either way it's long range NAM so lets not panic. Nevermind everything crashed going to be a strong run
-
Looking at the frames just posted I think NYC/NE NJ would be at or close to 2" qpf on that run.
-
Does that shift east in future frames?
-
Some storms don't have as sharp of a cutoff, the confluence for this one is going to drive a lot of dry air into the northern fringe. Fortunately for this area the confluence is the best friend or this storm would probably hug the coast.
-
It may not be wrong but right now no other model is that far south with the cutoff of precip.
-
GFS still on it's own as the outlier with the suppressed storm, still hits the city on south good.
-
Guess Euro will end all this is turning into a rainstorm posts.
-
Agree if anything the catskills will get the banding and they will get 2 plus feet. Albany will not get 2 feet from this storm and NYC will get at least 6 inches, I am pretty confident on both those statements.
- 3,760 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- heavy snow
- heavy rain
- (and 3 more)
-
We go through this with every storm, models will flip around.
- 3,760 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- heavy snow
- heavy rain
- (and 3 more)
-
its not becoming a rain event, at worst its snow to mix to snow for the city
- 3,760 replies
-
- 2
-
-
-
- heavy snow
- heavy rain
- (and 3 more)
-
Maybe for your area but CMC/Euro are not nearly as warm as this ukie run, based on snow maps looks like rain/snow line would make it to Brooklyn and Queens.
-
Looks pretty far NW but hard to tell without all the frames
-
If it scoots east too far south it will be congrats Baltimore and Philly in terms of big totals, still can't complain with 8-10 inches
-
Actually yesterdays 12Z run was more surpressed on the Euro. There is no hugger solution anyway in terms of our area, it's a hugger up until it reaches Southern NJ and then gets slammed east by confluence, 0Z Euro I am pretty sure was all snow for NYC Metro.
-
Models trending a bit less dynamic than yesterday, but look I can't complain if it's a 6-12 inch storm.