Greyhound
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Posts posted by Greyhound
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So, are we part of the MJO forcing now?
That Velocity potential and irrotational wind map (I guess that's what it is?) map makes it look like our area may be getting close.
Perceptible waters are just amazing. Wave after wave of 250 - 300% abv. normal on the GFS and Euro.
If forced to make a forecast now I'd say 4" - 6" over the next 15 days with some localized areas approaching 10" depending on where/ how long everything sets up.
At first I thought you were talking snow accumulations.....only to realize you mean more rain. Dadgumit!!!
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3 hours ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:
Wish I could get it with a preview, but pretty amazing flooding time lapse from Australia.
HOLY CRAP!!!!!
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Reading the verdict on DeSousa last week made me so dadgum mad!!! I absolutely can not stand the NCAA. I believe their should be some oversight to college athletics so things don't get way out of control...but the NCAA isn't that organization. I've always wondered what would happen if several of the Power conferences just thumbed their nose at the NCAA and started their own "league". Like the fabled Tauntaun snowstorms......one can only dream!!!
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2 hours ago, weathertree4u said:
Let's hope we can pull out a win in the fourth quarter
And lets hope the refs (models) don't blow another call!!!!
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26 minutes ago, Jed33 said:
Seeing a mix of drizzle and snow here now. Temp is 34 though and moisture moving out, but since today is my birthday, I’m considering it a huge win! Can only count on one hand the number of days it’s snowed or there was snow on the ground for my day.
Happy Birthday!!!!!
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Right there with you!!! The ONLY game I went to this year was the ONLY game they have lost!!!Maybe I shouldn't watch it too much. Seem like TN does better when I don't watch.
Wonder if this approach would work with the weather models too.
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And to be fair, I am one to know. I have spent waaaayyyyyy too many hours of my life waiting for the next model run. I still do it (see below). Looks good one run, bad the next.
Not to stir the pot, but 0z 3k NAM jumped south. This could very well jump back north at 6z, but for now:
For this sort of set up (correct me if I'm wrong) live radar is the best to go by as it develops. Once the energy starts to jump to the coast, it's usually game over for the comma head band.
I would say watch for trends, but don't get too hung up on precise placement. The storm is coming, wherever it all sets up, precise details to be determined.
I know gulf storms can sometimes rob our area of anything decent and we end up with little.....could that be a possibility based on this gif you posted? I wouldn’t think so....at least not this time b/c of the strength of the system, the placement of the low, and it looks like more of a squall line instead of persistent cells firing along the coastal regions. But based on the microclimates of our area.... I never say never.
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Just now, PowellVolz said:
I just wanted post 500.
.Champion of life right there!!!!!
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New "Brining" technology. Just gotta get some snow to test it out: https://www.ornl.gov/node/47094
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17 hours ago, John1122 said:While reading an article about the shutdown effecting accuracy of the current weather forecasts, I came across this article talking about a new IBM weather model they claim is 200 percent more accurate than others. I'm not sure if it is something that is/will be available to the public or what.Quote
IBM has figured out a way to improve the way we predict the weather.
The company’s ability to provide better forecasts worldwide will be highlighted by IBM CEO Ginni Rometty when she delivers the keynote address at this year’s Consumer Electronics Show on Tuesday. The Global High-Resolution Atmospheric Forecasting System, or GRAF, will use IBM supercomputers to aggregate data from millions of sources, including the smartphones of Weather Channel app users (on an opt-in basis), to more-accurately predict the weather. GRAF will be rolled out later this year.
The company, which owns The Weather Channel, has its own interests in improving forecasting, but Rometty reminded USA Today that IBM is also involved in more day-to-day transactions than consumers typically realize: “Your ATM doesn’t work without us, you can’t get an airline ticket without us, you cannot charge your car through your gas without us, you (won’t have a) supply at Walmart without us. We really are underneath almost all of it.”
The new tool will have implications for businesses and consumers alike, especially in regions where accurate, reliable, and up-to-date weather forecasts are not available. According to Rometty, adverse weather saw the loss of $500 billion in economic value last year.
The decision to double down on collecting data from consumers’ phones is a bold one for IBM, whose subsidiary The Weather Channel was sued on Friday by the city of Los Angeles for allegedly collecting and selling users’ data under false pretences. The app asks permission to collect data, but informs the user that it’s needed to provide “personalized local weather data, alerts and forecasts,” without mentioning other uses of the data.
Rommety is also expected to highlight IBM’s forays into a cloud-based platform where users can debate an AI, as well as the company’s efforts to be more inclusive.
There's also this from IBM that came out today:
https://www-engadget-com.cdn.ampproject.org/v/s/www.engadget.com/amp/2019/01/08/ibm-smartphone-improve-weather-forecasts/?amp_js_v=a2&_gsa=1#referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com&_tf=From%20%251%24s&share=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.engadget.com%2F2019%2F01%2F08%2Fibm-smartphone-improve-weather-forecasts%2F
EDIT TO ADD: Just noticed it's pretty much the same article. My fault. I couldn't read your entire post on my SMART Phone.
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Let the Great Dry-Out begin!!!!
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2 hours ago, Blue Ridge said:
@nrgjeff KU or Michigan should be #1, but my money is on Duke retaking the top spot. No questioning that the Dukie bias is real this year...
When is the Duke bias NOT real???
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I'm like PowellVolz at 1100....but a bit South of him in Fountain City. Just brought the dogs in and it was sleeting
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44 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:
Wow, it is really cold out there. Just finished doing leaves....but that one tree is taking its time. Wind chills are in the 20s. Figured I would get the yard cleaned up after the windy weekend that we had.
Don't get me started on leaves!!! Spent a few hours a a week and a half ago using the leaf blower to clear the yard, then come back from NYC yesterday and looks like every tree in the Northern Hemisphere exploded over our house while we were gone. I just had that defeated Maytag Man look on my face when we pulled in the driveway.
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Just sharing my seats at the Kansas and Tennessee game. Apologies to Jeff.....but GO VOLS!!!
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Regarding the UT / GA-Tech game - I was listening on the radio and Kessling said the crew was a Final Four crew, so they were calling the game tight. Also, early in the season there's always "points of emphasis" that officials enforce, so they tend to call the games a bit more strict to get the point(s) across. It usually calms down as the season goes on.
My two cents.....not an official/referee....just MANY years working in the sports/athletic realm.
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Interesting:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/2018/01/31/hailstorms-predicted-weeks-advance/1083436001/
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Stove......I think you need to have a big picnic for all of us once the harvest starts rolling in!!! Wish I could try something like this, but our property is too shaded with mature oaks. Happy growing to all!!!
Winter 'Tis the Season Banter Thread 2018-2019
in Tennessee Valley
Posted
From Facebook:
59 years ago on February 13, 1960, 17.5 inches of snow dumped in Knoxville. The snowfall total from this storm was 18.8 inches. 17.5 inches of snow is the most snow in one day in Knoxville since records began in 1871. It was 71° 3 days before this 18.8" of snow and it was also 71° in Knoxville 2 days before the Blizzard of 93!
Knoxville Monthly Snowfall totals in 1960:
January 1960: 8.9"
February 1960: 23.3"
March 1960: 20.2" (3 snowstorms on 2nd-3rd, 9th, and 11th)
56.7" of snow fell in Knoxville from 1959-1960, the most snow in one year in Knoxville since records began in 1871.
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