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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Seems like the Sox offseason FA wise, so far....interest in everything, delivery on nothing.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will be a warm month, but we've seen worse...some opportunity.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    PDO doesn't really drive the pattern...it feeds back, especially when extreme...but its more a reflection of the predominate state of the atmosphere.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doesn't look far off to me. I'm not suggesting Boston is going to get 80" of snow...but is what it is.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not bad.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    This timing sequence reminds me of 2008.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tell me this isn't a CC-modernized redux of Dec 2002, thus far....
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had like and inch or so in Wilmington..
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Of course its the CMC sniffing that out...just like it did the western PV lobe phase 2 years ago, which ruined the pre xmas blizzard.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had like 7" of snow Xmas AM.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    That would be up there with 1997 and 2017 for pre-Xmas storm evolutions.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tough to **uck up that evolution. Track a monster, closed H5 low under LI and I'll show you 346 dfferent ways to derobe.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I would much rather need a correction north than south.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    But I would rather see that, then needing a PV lobe to drop 200 mi furhter south...this is more correctable.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, will creep up and look like 2024 Mike Tyson when it arrives here...occluded has-been.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    Man, you are particularly relentlelss this season.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see a similar evolution for coasties....
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    You know what I mean.....generally speaking, has that flavor...not to mention a coarse, long range snowfall output product will not aqequately resolve meso features such as CFs, so it may every well verify with a steeper gradient as is.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    One month comes to mind looking at this image....mid Dec-mid Jan 2002-2003, all day long. Not a forecast...just speaking to what this image evokes.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Please don't respond to it with so much as an emoji....
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Feb 2015 is my record for depth in Wilmington...high 30's. Safely over 3', but under 40". I'd say second was January 1996 and 3rd January 2011.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is the path for me to bust warm in Dec....have the January flip occur the holiday week, which has always been on the table...I just erred on the side of caution after being burned so many times recently. Having it be a timing error is much more palatable from a forecasting perspective, as well, rather than totally botching the pattern.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, I totally agree and was thinking the same as I typed....I resonded in a very literal manner. This is more like a CC modified 2010 type of start, potentially. 2/3 of those 3 seasons I mentioned were pretty discrete, well timed gifts from above. 2017 being the exception...that was a great season, aside from the Feb bloodbath.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Gonna go out on a limb and say that we have suceeded in getting the Grinch to grant us a holiday reprieve by showing up early...pretty solid cross ensemble convergence on a nice pattern around the holiday, with the Canadian being the most subdued. Hopefully we get the nice pattern to set in earlier than I had expected.
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