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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like that its been pushed back a bit....my ETA home from the hospital is probably 1/7.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anyone see DT's latest video? Not sure why he portrays Modoki La Nina as being more favorable for east coast cold and snow...its the total opposite. Common theme I have seen with that guy is that he is absolutely inept in terms of ENSO. He was dicounting La Nina prospects all fall, and is now so shocked that the CFS was correct about La Nina developing late. Its not a suprised to anyone that researched the subsurface, dude.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jan 2015 and March 2018 gave my spot 30"+
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    The weather has heaped plenty of something else upon me.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    To be fair, you need to put this into the proper context.....coming off of being boned for 8 years running I am doing that, sure. How many times have I kept slamming my head into a brick wall for the last several years to get to that point?? Take a look at my last couple of outlooks...you tell me. Trust me....if this reaches a certain tipping point of probability and lead time, I will flip a switch. We aren't there yet.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    She doesn't even want the laptop in the hospital....ever since I tried writing some of my outlook when we were in for my first born right before Halloween. Gonna have to smuggle that shit and work pre dawn
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    They would be late, late night blogs for the sake of my marriage...while she sleeps
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel as good about major snows in the long range as I do about the Sox interest in major FAs....on paper, there is no reason it shouldn't happen, but you get that pit in the middle of your gut that it just won't until it actually takes place. Until John Henry and the atmosphere both commit to large investments once again, we are resigned to broke dick storms and players, as well as 15×20 mile bands of prosperity and trades of top prospects for relative unknowns.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Went +3 to +5 in December, which is off....PNA killed me. I expected that in January, not December.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's been calling for a January torch since last fall, so that's probably where it stems from.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am so sick of long range CJs over the past 8 years...wake me when a major event is imminent
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Happened in 2015...def.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like 2010, 1995, 2000 and 1981 are best matches from a qualitative December temp anomaly standpoint.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    1995 for me...had about 1'.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    While I did go above normal temps and below normal snowfall, I had a whole section of my outlook allocated to the rationale for why the long term Pacific cold phase is coming to an end...given my forecasting bias, I felt compelled to assume it wouldn't have a profound impact immediately...we shall see. Looks as though I nailed the late blooming La Nina that many had given up on.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    1/2"
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    +1/2" 2" on the season.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    I am still pleased with asthetic appeal here for the holiday.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think its a great analog.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Nope...just lamenting a lost month.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Been a total loss for me.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    I did great in January 1996...Feb was meh.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    People have a recency bias with respepct to -PNA...while I agree that its not as easy for a - PNA pattern to bare fruit for the east coast as it was 20-30+ year ago, its also not likely to be as anomalous or hostile as it was in 2023.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty sure it isn't goint to torch, but I could see January 1996 turning into January 2022.
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