Yes...agreed. I just pretty much said the same thing with less bells and whistles.
My previous commentary was just based on the current appeal of the three major ensemble suites. Correction vector is more favorable....and the closer we get to January/later in December, the fuse is closer to getting lit is my feeling.
If I am being entirely objective, I will say that the extended range ordeal should have less resistance to trending more favorably should the PNA actually moderate....you would think it would trend more favorably.
When isn't there spread at day 10? The point is that the mean has been pinned to a follow up rendition of Friday. There is no denying it.
Time to change? Sure....will that pattern allow? You bet...and it would not surprise me.
But its needs to....
None of the 3 major ensemble means give me a warm and fuzzy about that pre-Xmas system...most of the energy looks west again. The ceiling looks something akin to that crap on Friday...as of now.
Yes. There is no reason why we can't have all hell break loose to send us into the holiday....but the question is where will hell break loose, and will it be hell perceived through our lens, or the collective one of the masses??
Tic, toc...
I must have missed those, but then again, I am focusing on major signals....so I would gloss over the random whale ripples that could drop an inch or two.
Friday is rain....which has been clear to me since Sunday.
Then we have the pre Xmas event and then probably one more major threat between Xmas and New Year's.....so while everything looks awesome from a large-scale synoptics stand- point, the devil is in the details. And that devil really needs to stop screaming up the collective tail pipe of eastern New England free of lube, or else this festive holiday appeal is going to remain at H5 and pass us by at the surface.
Simple as that-