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40/70 Benchmark

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    C- effort on this one...Round 1 went as planned to the west and south on Monday night, but Tuesday PM was a no-show from the N stream insert for round 2 to the north and northeast. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2023/03/tuesday-228-winter-storm-verification.html
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    He is a better spot for high end events, but it's much more feast or famine.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    We'll see about that....there is a reason you average like 20" less than I do.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Regression is a bitch.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    08 was good NOP...great north of rt 2.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say GFS is improved model IMO.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Agree. Warning event NOP-interior, advisory otherwise.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can see why GFS socks me with 1'+....I'm right at the northern edge of that nascent H7 low.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes...mid levels close off, which also caps mid level warming.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    You would think that discrepancy should become clearer soon.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not really. I explained where I was coming from..just let it go.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I feel like its rushing that evolution.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't buy the whole sale Miller B detonation attm....but, we'll see.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is clearly a Miller B take over, as opposed to confluence forced attennuation. Guidance tried to do that at the last moment with the Tuesday deal and it was total BS.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't buy a foot in Boston, either.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I guess to me, it was like breaking the balls of someone who thought the Sox would be great, in spring training.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, if we get to mid March and its still like this, bust away.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I had a more east-west gradient inside of 128 and 495 up there.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I like gradients, but numbers are conservative right now, which is course of least regret for then..I get it.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I guess I don't see what this system likely sucking for you has to do with how much you end up with in March. I made it clear precip type issues would be prevalent across the southern half of the region due to MJO-7 WAR...IOW, I have my eggs in later baskets for region wide big snows.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we get the 00z Friday and the NAM is the warmest piece of guidance in the mid levels, then I will capitulate.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Bingo.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    100% my sentiment.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't understand your point...its March 1, and I have you on the line between 2-5" and 1-3" for this event. God, what an insufferable baby.
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