Building off of my reference to 1979-1980....its really not a bad analog so far.
Here is the seasonal H5 pattern to date to this point......vs the composite of my 4 seasons of 10" or less by Feb 1, and finally compared to just 1979-80.
Note that while this year is NOT a good match to those ratters, due in large part to the neg NAO and lack of a death vortex around AK, 1979-1980 by itself is not a bad match at all.