IDK...maybe because I have done so much "better" in the shitty years...like last year and this year, but the fact is that its tough to find a spot thats been below normal every year since March 2018.
Its largely due to social media IMHO....its fostering an increased proclivity towards iimpulsivity and instant gratification, which is inimical to critical thinking and conducive to an increased tendency to make perfunctory judegements.
You just need to treat the OP as an ensemble member until within like 24 hours....I wonder if all of the enhanced data assimilation and resolution has improved/increased dispersiveness....ie the ensemble mean is better at calling BS on the OP.
He knows his stuff and brings shit to the table, but he's just really biased and likes to poke the hornet's nest without anyone realizing he's poking it.
Pepperell is about as good as it gets for low elevation in SNE.....really holds cold there tucked up against the east slopes of the ORH hills and west of the coastal fronts....they really wedge. My buddy lives there.