40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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What insurance you have?
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I could offer up some dialectical behavioral therapy sessions for several not so small fees.
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No south displaced block, either...just south displaced luck.
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We settle for PD III in lieu of Feb '78 redux? In all seriousness, it looks as though my timeline will be off, at the very least. Oh well.
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Nah, its great conversation and interesting food for thought. Will be interestig to see if the multi decedal signal flips back in the coming years, as it has in the past.
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Cool. Let me Zoom myelf later...I think I'm free.
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January has been good, despite being mild....what taints the perception is the fact that the vast majority of the snow was gone so quickly and now we may be staring down the barrel of Feb 1973. I was trying to look up the MJO plot for that month, but it didn't go back that far....1995 and 2007 have some similarity.
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It wasn't event warm....it just sucked. I'd rather shot-gun a case of battery acid than do that.....just warm up and rip the band aid off-
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I just prefer nice weather and not having to waste time and energy if we don't end up getting snow, but to each their own. Just so much time and energy with so little return these past several years. That long guidance looks just like 1973, which I always thought was a great analog save for the polar domain....but if we have already cashed in that blocking potential and still didn't score, than what are we left with? 1973.
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Just because you want to travel to east-bum for snow....frankly, if it isn't going to snow IMBY, then just torch it.
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Just wait and see, I guess....I know the "warm blob" was the supposed CC related trend last decade. CC is definely real and having an impact, but the key is understranding exactly what said impact is.
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So you think that CC is predisposing the Pacific to a -PDO configuration....
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Hopefully we can get a HECS rolling next month.
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Glad you guys finally caught a break...enjoy!
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Half past Mount Tolland's ass.
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Yea, I have had 24" this month....last January was actually respectbale here, too....latitude FTW.
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That is what I am getting at by poor multidecadal signal.
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Its a combo piece....CC, poor multi decadal Pacific background and bad luck.
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Your take is totally reasonable. Not a great look, but some servicable interludes.
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Adjust for CC, and you get a reduction in lower heights over the southeast.
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Man, 1973.
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Really is the Pacific that drives the bus....I remember last decade we had a string of +NAO winters and we just kept rocking because of the Pacific....now its the opposite. We keep getting ineffectual blocking with a shit Pacific. That said, some of it is bad luck and yes...CC doesn't help.
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I was about to respond...its one bad suite. Sure, its a very realistic concern, but people need to be mindful of this fatalistic thought process that has resulted from the shitty stretch we have been in. Its climo coldest point and Canada is cold...I'm not sold on crap...at least at my locale.
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I've had March cancelled since November....hope I'm as wrong about March as I may be about February.
