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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. I have been mentioning that as a potential ceiling for a couple of days....
  2. Climo/SSTS are also more favorable than they were on 12/3, which negates some of the limitations with regard to the airmass.
  3. I didn't see that on the GEFS mean...GEM ens mean, I did...nothing drastic, but north...
  4. GEM ensemble trended a hair north over OH...not what we wanted to see. Confluence backed off a bit this run.
  5. Nor am I going to quibble over intensity nuances on a deterministic solution. Same idea RE general storm evolution.
  6. Riding the line, regardless. Better than having the line 30mi north of me.
  7. Looks good north of Boston. Sorry it blows for YBY
  8. It was a little east...out on Long island.
  9. Dec 92 snowed 18" in the Wilmington swamps. Latitude matters, too.
  10. Yea, but just discussing the run. I'll be more concerns if ens follow.
  11. I don't care what the verbatim output implies...I'll sell big snows here with a low over NYC in a marginal airmass. Ugly run.
  12. That run followed the trend in the other ops of tucking...not good. Hopefully ensembles don't do that.
  13. Its following the trend on ensembles..
  14. Dr. Dew knows his stuff, and its evident in those fleeting moments when he allocates more time/energy towards sharing his knowledge and insight, rather than imparting passive aggressive torment on the masses. Wonder if there is any relation between him and Forky?
  15. I can't get enough of that...share away..
  16. New Foundland is having a scooter 2015 year..
  17. Wow....ECENS look nice. Follows along with Canadian ensemble of a more intense system...though further south, just below south coast.
  18. Main take away on the Canadian ensemble is a slightly slower and more intense system, but its still tracking from Poukipsie through CNE...need it south.
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