40/70 Benchmark
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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark
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Does it actually track closer, or is at just H5 improvement?
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Yea...12z tmw is my deadline.
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If I could, I wipe my a$$ with the outlook in exchange for having that polar stud bend the southern bell over the benchmark.
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All I needed to see for now.
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Its a faster pattern, but I think there is more latent energy available here...like 4 SWs.
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I didn't trade $hit. I have no control over it. ...but verifying is of some consolation to me. I think it's human nature to strive for success...regardless of whether its a career or hobby.
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DT and Judah.. I think Earthlight, too
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I'd say 1/4.....12" is 1/8.
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I think we will have another favorable period for a biggie....sure, the pattern will not be perfect and will be flawed, but serviceable imo. We aren't on the verge of spring...that is frustration speaking for some.
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Odds of a miss have increased, but no one should be resigned to this yet. There is plenty of time for precip type issues to erupt on guidance. This can happen fast with a multitude of SWs that have yet to be completely sampled in a lightning fast flow. That is my objective opinion.
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The inverted trough look is the model's of way of reconciling the formerly robust solution with the increasingly likely reality of a miss.
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I had slightly above normal snowfall, and with the exception of not being extreme enough with the magnitude of the anticpated warmth in January, its gone very well. I didn't expect the next big event until between 2/17 and 3/2, so this going to the fish would be a victory for me as far as timing goes.
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Yea, in Alabama....snow verifies much more here.
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Hit him over the head with a Hadley Cell, the force him to read one of his posts from start finish.
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Absolutely, but an abrupt about face is within the real of plausibility for about 24-48 more hours.
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We don't what is or isn't in the cards yet.
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Yep.
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What a meteorological martyr....
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Thank you.
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Becuase I don't want rain.
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If I have to sink, I'd rather sunshine than another cold rain. Simple. Last thing I want is a track along the Jersey shore.
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I said last night, OP Euro whiffing is concerning because much of the SW interaction is taking place within its 120hr wheelhouse. However I would wait until 12z tomorrow before assuming any clarity, as everything will have been sampled by then. I would rather risk a whiff than a hug...just me.
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Keep it east and I'll take my chances.
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I'd rather a miss than a tuck in a marginal airmass.
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Nice trade imo.
