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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    The NAO help isn't a surprise to me, but I did not expect PNA in December....that would be a welcome addition.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I knew all of the bridge jumping over December was BS. Just let it play out...
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    That doesn't look bad...especially week 3.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I like that....maybe your most valuable contribution all fall.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Where is Kevin and his sleigh full of weenies when you need them...
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, the NAO is only helpful if you have cold air already in place...in this case, rather run this risk of a hugger, than have a good track with no cold.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I only used it as a secondary analog because of the ONI and MEI criteria that I employed, but that season is one of the better sensible weather analogs for how I see this winter playing out. Even the blocking just east of Greenland was a very prevalent feature in my composite.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you mean due to the stagnation of a neg NAO...IE, not allowing the old Pac puke to bleed out?
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....I think climo and the cold reservoir improve throughout the month.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    SO MEI value held at -1.2 https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/mei/
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think "the first half of December shows signs of improvement" is more accurate.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    The Whale released him after he tried to rope it into coauthoring the Dawn Awakening...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Taking cover under his novel
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Set a record for safety.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think that you will be too far off this season. I think I went with + .25 to .55 range...basically neutral-positive. I think most would take a near neutral NAO and run, this year. lol
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most bombed the arctic last season....I think all of the smoke from the fires really augmented the PV.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea....there isn't much cold for the PNA to advect.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    He just means that Canada is filled with Pacific air.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hadley Boooommmmmb....BOOM!!
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I noticed the same thing. Difference of a day or two is noise. The point is that the second week of December is much more favorable.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    There needs to be a cold source......the high is the vehicle for the cold. Worcester hills could probably pull it off, sure.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think I will because its so tied into my emotional well being, as well. I have seen some dark days and exercise is an enormous outlet for me. Wife has learned to afford me the time to exercise. lol
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, obviously there are more acute causes of chronic discomfort. Sucks. I don't know how I have avoided more chronic issues after that wreck I was in 1/2010....absolute miracle, but I'm sure my rigorous fitness regimen plays a role. My left lat will never feel exactly the same, as they extracted it to graph the tube into my aorta. But I can not complain.
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