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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Still think North and East in NE is where it as it with this...aside from parting gifts. Think the action way out west is being overplayed attm. I'll have a first call out today.
  2. I heard it was a little east of 18z...not invested enough to look.
  3. I have seen it refuse to cave on an early phase and be wrong...I am sure NYC and w CT can name an instance.
  4. The 12z Euro wasn't as impressive as it looked for sne....it was only plowable in the hills.
  5. Gonna decide in the AM whether or not to blog on this POS....I hope it trends poorly bc the odds of big snow are so low for my area, that I'd rather not bother with it.
  6. I don't think Union representation and hard work are mutually exclusive...I know it wasn't for me straight through the heart of the pandemic.
  7. Storm is going to suck one way or another...just a matter of whether it's a wet suck, or a dry suck.
  8. 9/10 times it's more accurate than the clown maps....but its guidance, like anything else. It is based on the model, which usually underestimates the mid levels in big events. Big difference between determining rain vs snow in marginal events. I nailed that forecast btw.
  9. If I had to pick a spot for some accumulation in SNE, its the N ORH hills....no shock.
  10. There are two competing elements....sure, interior elevations stand the best chance at having a colder boundary layer to support snow, but NE locales have a greater likelihood of achieving the dynamics to overcome a marginal boundary layer. My guess is its mainly a NNE deal...best of both worlds.
  11. Opposite impact from what looks to evolve, though...it strengthens the PV, which is believed to be what happened last season. Assassinated many outlooks.
  12. NAO east showed up a lot in my analog composites.
  13. I am thinking more Maine, but we'll see. I expect a lot of systems like that this season in which its a race for them to develop. This is why Maine should clean up. I will get some of them, but not this one IMO.
  14. It would just prolong the wintry appeal...systems that try to gut due to higher se heights would get squeezed under and redevelop as miller B. Perhaps SWFE, as well, if they fail to redevelop fast enough. 2010-2011 had that....but as we saw that season, it will go to crap once the blocking abates.
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