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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Clear your head. Even the weenie wxbell algorithm blows.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure which GFS you are looking at.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    GFS is awful for this area.....folks can stop lamenting the NAM
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not if it's a Nuke.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    RGEM is a general 4-8"...ignore the @Dr. Dews generated temp algorithm.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    RGEM is awful w 2m temps.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Euro seems pretty damned locked in....I would be surprised if it is way off at this point....maybe developing the low a bit too quickly..ie NE shift, and/or w or east up to 40 mi or so.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'd take that that and run. I think the only guidance that blows for me is 12km NAN and RPM.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I had you near the edge of 1-3" and 3-6"....may have to edge upward. We'll see...I think the 18z EURO was the high water mark haha
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    18z EURO looked a bit slower, too....interesting.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Walt, I've been waiting for the "late development" rug to get pulled out from under NYS for a few days. W NE is close...as you know, fine line between midlevel haves and have nots.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Jack is ORH county to KCON on that.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Whoo.... lol. I'm just screwing with you. NBD, but I'm quite confident that if you took a poll, the vast majority believes that you own a DIT pin cushion.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is my Jackman jack call from this AM
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Difference is you are fixated on Kevin, Hippy is not.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    You will never not bite lol
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would not worry....snow will get thrown back farther up there bc mid levels will be mature.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, agree.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    No cheating, BOX...
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yep.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will be happy with 2-3".
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would not be surprised...feared that all along.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Are you talking about the QPF charts, or mid level model depictions? if the mid levels trend east, and/or the system matures later, then yes.......but not because the QPF chart simply doesn't show big amounts. Models mainly resolve precipitation from low level forcing, but are not skilled with mid level deformation...vastly underdone.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exactly. The snowfall algorithm that I tout is superior with respect to distinguishing precip type issues, which is usually important for us. Most algorithms err by tallying mixed precvip as snow, which inflates the numbers. Mine does not to this, however, it is only based on the model, which usually will not resolve mid level banding properly. Thus it will miss the deformation axis to the NW of the low.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    Mid levels.
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