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  2. Zero doubt this is a 5 to me. Batch of 143-144 FL and unflagged SFMR of 135, 150, and 159kt.
  3. Definitely eager to see that data and hopefully they get a good pass through the eye
  4. Recon just started measuring, give them time. This reading is, again, from the southeast quadrant of the eyewall. The highest winds in a hurricane reside in the northeast quad where the lowest pressure also resides. We are minutes away from finding out what the NE quad measures.
  5. Is this the plane that will issue the 5am advisory or will another flight follow this?
  6. I don’t think the NHC could pull the trigger on a C5 with that little center data. Recon needs time to confirm imo.
  7. I really thought this was going to be a cat 5 now especially given the satellite estimates and what data they're getting now. So confused.
  8. 2:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 27 Location: 16.3°N 77.7°W Moving: W at 5 mph Min pressure: 926 mb Max sustained: 150 mph
  9. 923.2mb extrapolated (might not be dead center) Peak FL of 140kt Peak SFMR of 148 SE to NW pass
  10. Um……923mb in the S/SE quad of the eye? Oh boy, this just escalated quickly. Wonder what the NE quad measures.
  11. I’m thinking 915mb and 170mph, question is where it’ll fall since 170 is not an advisory strength, so 165/175.
  12. Thinking they find pressure in the 910mb-920mb range. Winds in the 170-180mph range. Strictly based on satellite and infrared imagery, also factoring in ADT estimates.
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