Winter 2026-2027 Speculation

[DirtySnowDen]

8 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yeah it is going to be warmer, but far from the worst case scenario we were looking at a few months ago

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I agree, but can’t rule out a solid storm away from the coast. If you are on the coast south of Boston, I think you are porked for snowfall totals.

[stadiumwave]

2 hours ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

How did it compare to the upcoming?...understanding it is tough to know what really happened in the 1800s....

 

I read a paper that Paul Roundy had shared in the last couple of years that discussed any known global impacts. Like you said, a lot if it has to be pieced together from written records from individuals in parts of the world in that time frame & then the rest from reanalysis. If I can find the paper I will share it. 

[stadiumwave]

1 minute ago, stadiumwave said:

 

I read a paper that Paul Roundy had shared in the last couple of years that discussed any known global impacts. Like you said, a lot if it has to be pieced together from written records from individuals in parts of the world in that time frame & then the rest from reanalysis. If I can find the paper I will share it. 

 

Here are a couple:

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/33/11/jcli-d-19-0650.1.xml

 

https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/31/23/jcli-d-18-0159.1.xml

 

 

 

 

[DirtySnowDen]

4 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Yeah it is going to be warmer, but far from the worst case scenario we were looking at a few months ago

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I’ve turned into the old man from “Up” last ten years. I used to hope for snow/oce, now I hope for rain. Sadly, anything ocean/oscillating is terrible when forecasting 7-10 days out. However, when it arrives”whether”  it’s pos or neg, kinda dictates the next few months. It is a planetary flow. I do not know what to expect, but being a borderline record El Niño this year means something……..Can I get callout on how super El Niños performed in the region? 

[40/70 Benchmark]

13 hours ago, stadiumwave said:

That El Nino was something! That potential has to at least be considered possible. 

This is totally anecdotal, but I really doubt it considering the stretch from which we are just emerging. I think we are on par for some positive regression in terms of snowfall...I understand the CC-oriented counter to that, and it's perfectly valid, so no need to get into that...ultimately all we can do is guess, and that is mine.

[40/70 Benchmark]

15 hours ago, EasternLI said:

1877-78 was known as the year without a winter. Interestingly a very powerful el nino event that year. 

We were really paid back 100 years later!!

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 hours ago, DirtySnowDen said:

I agree, but can’t rule out a solid storm away from the coast. If you are on the coast south of Boston, I think you are porked for snowfall totals.

I wouldn't say that given major El Nino climo....I think lower in latitude has the best shot at above climo snowfall.