Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

[Yardstickgozinya]

Wpc has highlighted a marginal risk for excessive rainfall ,to include all but, South central and South eastern Pennsylvania. 

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/ero.php?opt=curr&day=1

[Yardstickgozinya]

I think most of us realize expansion this time of year is many times the likely outcome . I wonder if anybody here could figure out the likelihood of spc expansions versus, reduction versus a consistent forecast in the final 24 and 8 hours before zero hour. 

[mahantango#1]

Dauphin County should be included in this if you look at SPC's map.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
422 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

PAZ006-011-012-018-019-025>028-034>037-041-045-046-049>052-056-063-
064-270830-
Potter-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-
Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-
Montour-Northumberland-Perry-Cumberland-Adams-
422 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Strong thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible this evening
into early tonight.