mayjawintastawm Posted November 5 Share Posted November 5 It's balmy and around 60 at 10:30 AM this November day. There are hints of a more exciting pattern change in 7-10 days (isn't there always?) but nothing but warm and dry in the short term. Bring on... something! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 7 Share Posted November 7 Only .03" here since 10/5. Been a brutal stretch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 On 11/5/2025 at 10:31 AM, mayjawintastawm said: It's balmy and around 60 at 10:30 AM this November day. There are hints of a more exciting pattern change in 7-10 days (isn't there always?) but nothing but warm and dry in the short term. Bring on... something! The models wavered a bit over the past few days, but have now picked this back up. Fingers crossed that we finally get some snow in the lower elevations next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 10 Share Posted November 10 And to think, last year at this time we were in the midst of the snowiest November for Denver in over 30 years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 13 Author Share Posted November 13 On 11/10/2025 at 11:37 AM, tacoman25 said: And to think, last year at this time we were in the midst of the snowiest November for Denver in over 30 years. Last year I XC skied in Cherry Creek State Park on 11/10. Jeez. I may have to mow the lawn this weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 Fort Collins up to 75.1 I wish I could turn on the weather magnets and get you guys some rain and snow. My place in Ohio had more snow than Estes Park this week. It wasn't much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 15 hours ago, Chinook said: Fort Collins up to 75.1 I wish I could turn on the weather magnets and get you guys some rain and snow. My place in Ohio had more snow than Estes Park this week. It wasn't much. LOL, it's been in the 60's up here in the Estes Valley all week. Frankly, I am not complaining yet as I have a suspicion that that winter will come on strong in December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 14 Share Posted November 14 Yeah, it's been a historically warm/dry stretch here. DEN has seen a grand total of .14" since 9/29, with nothing so far this month. On track to rival 2021, which holds the record with just .11" in Oct/Nov. Not quite as warm as 2021, but still ridiculous with six 70+ November days now. Just a complete lack of troughing in the region this fall. -ENSO falls tend to be warm and dry, but 2021 and this year are extreme examples. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM Author Share Posted Saturday at 12:12 AM 2021 was a complete non-winter. Hope this year doesn't replicate that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Saturday at 12:29 AM Share Posted Saturday at 12:29 AM The West Coast low pressure area has already brought 1.25"-5.0" to San Francisco, 3.0" (3.0 feet?) to the Sierra Nevadas, and 0.3" to Los Angeles. There's much more to come for southern California and the desert. It's kicking the ridge in the middle of the country. Today, Fort Collins was back to 70-75, 75 in Denver, and over 80 in Kansas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted Saturday at 05:14 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:14 AM 5 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: 2021 was a complete non-winter. Hope this year doesn't replicate that. Jan/Feb weren't bad at all. Both months were colder and snowier than normal for DEN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:41 PM GFS is probably on crack, but all models have trended wetter with the system next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM It wouldn't surprise me if there's a snowstorm Friday since I'm flying out of town Thursday. Happens all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM 1 hour ago, smokeybandit said: It wouldn't surprise me if there's a snowstorm Friday since I'm flying out of town Thursday. Happens all the time. To pile on, I made my winter tire swap appointment for next Saturday, so yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Saturday at 10:05 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:05 PM lenticulars 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted Sunday at 02:20 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:20 AM 6 hours ago, smokeybandit said: It wouldn't surprise me if there's a snowstorm Friday since I'm flying out of town Thursday. Happens all the time. And in fact I'm flying out Tuesday and returning Friday morning... well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted Sunday at 02:24 AM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:24 AM 21 hours ago, tacoman25 said: Jan/Feb weren't bad at all. Both months were colder and snowier than normal for DEN. actually good point. Classic La Nina half-a-winter. My seasonal total was 45.9" which is not too much less than my average of about 55". But it didn't really start till January. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted Monday at 06:58 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:58 PM Models are now showing the storm Friday to be mainly rain for the urban corridor. Except for the GEM, which still think there will be a heavy, wet snowstorm in Denver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Monday at 08:52 PM Share Posted Monday at 08:52 PM The ridge finally broke down and it snowed mainly west of the Continental Divide today. This has been a huge reason why it wasn't snowy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted yesterday at 02:32 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 02:32 AM So... any thoughts on the Thursday/Friday precip event? Looks weird, more like a Spring type event with temps and upslope. With the recent warmth, might not be that impactful. But worth talking about since we've not had much to discuss in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted yesterday at 09:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:27 PM 18 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: So... any thoughts on the Thursday/Friday precip event? Looks weird, more like a Spring type event with temps and upslope. With the recent warmth, might not be that impactful. But worth talking about since we've not had much to discuss in a long time. Sadly, the trend today in models has been to dry it out for most of the area, with the precip focused further east. We'll get a little rain it appears, which is better than nothing, but still disappointing given the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted yesterday at 11:24 PM Share Posted yesterday at 11:24 PM Last year's model trend was to dry everything out as the event got closer. Seems like that hasn't changed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago this would be pretty amazing in person. some snow showers in the mountains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
finnster Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Bummer - in Fort Collins area looks like we will get nothing out of this 'storm' . Still waiting for first flakes (or just something besides wind - get plenty of that). The record for latest first snow here is Dec. 13. The way things are going will probably break that. Might as well - we've broken just about every other record for heat/dryness in the last decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 4 hours ago, finnster said: Bummer - in Fort Collins area looks like we will get nothing out of this 'storm' . Still waiting for first flakes (or just something besides wind - get plenty of that). The record for latest first snow here is Dec. 13. The way things are going will probably break that. Might as well - we've broken just about every other record for heat/dryness in the last decade. I think the pattern finally starts to turn significantly colder/stormier towards the end of the month into early December. Model ensembles are pretty strongly hinting at this. You're definitely right that a lot of heat/dry records have been set in recent years, but...let's not be too prisoner of the moment. - Denver's driest year was way back in 1954 - Hottest temp of 105 was first recorded in the late 1800s and was tied in 2005 and 2012 but has not been touched since - Boulder's snowiest winter on record was 2019-20 - Denver's warmest year on record was 1981 So it could be worse. Also, there have been some impressive winter cold waves in the past decade or so. - two separate very cold waves in Feb 2025, the second which delivered a 12/-7 day on 2/19, about as cold as it gets that late in the season (though topped by an even more impressive event below) - DEN fell to -19 in the Jan 2024 cold wave. That was the coldest Jan temp since 1984. - Dec 2022 featured a -6/-24 day. That was the coldest max temp since 1990, the third coldest on record (-9 is coldest), and the low was one degree off the coldest temp recorded in the airport era (-25) - That was followed by a top tier blast in late Feb 2023, featuring a 7/-11 day at DEN on 2/23. The -11 broke the daily record by 11 degrees, and was the second latest a temp that cold had ever occurred - Feb 2021, another record-breaking cold wave. On Valentine's Day, DEN was 1/-14. That was followed by a low of -16 the next morning. The high was the coldest that late since 1962, and same for the low of -16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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