mayjawintastawm Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 Welcome to what seems to be real Spring! Flowers out, meadowlarks singing, sprinklers turned on. 80 F sometime this weekend, and closing day not far off for many ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 A pleasant half inch of rain this morning, plus a trace of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Wednesday at 09:09 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 09:09 PM The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted Wednesday at 11:22 PM Author Share Posted Wednesday at 11:22 PM 2 hours ago, ValpoVike said: The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain. This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Wednesday at 11:45 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:45 PM 20 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said: This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary. True and something that happens every spring. My neighbor 200’ above often receives several inches while I may get a sloppy mix, and my neighbor 300’ below is rain. All within adjacent property lines. Regarding fire danger, the state is forecasting “average”. I hope they are correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Wednesday at 11:49 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 11:49 PM 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Thursday at 12:03 AM Share Posted Thursday at 12:03 AM 11 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests The last two events have been similar. Forecasts and AFDs have been very conservative while the GFS and Euro held steady for many days, and they seem to verify and slit the difference on accumulation. I am interested to see what happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM Author Share Posted Thursday at 04:33 PM 16 hours ago, smokeybandit said: 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests I had the most incredible ski day last weekend with 6 inches of fresh powder and empty trails, now my 4-packs are exhausted so no more this season, but it looks like the places that bet on a strong May will win big-time. Only A-Basin and Winter Park plan to be open beyond 5/12 though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted Thursday at 06:01 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:01 PM gonna be a gross weekend here why cant it dump on tuesdays and wednesdays instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Thursday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:11 PM HRRR now even with significant snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:42 PM Look at GFS...yowzers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Thursday at 09:39 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:39 PM AFD is at least now acknowledging snow chances in the Palmer Divide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Friday at 02:49 PM Looks like NWS is starting to ramp up the foothills. All of the models are now quite bullish on snowfall, and from what I can see from about 7k' and up...as well as the Palmer Divide. NWS is highlighting 8.5k' and up, and nothing highlighted for the Palmer Divide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Friday at 04:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:09 PM I've lived here almost 5 years and I've always done with the rain/snow line when temps are marginal, even at 6300 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted Friday at 04:29 PM Share Posted Friday at 04:29 PM 12z HRRR and GFS are ramping up snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted Friday at 08:31 PM Share Posted Friday at 08:31 PM 4 hours ago, smokeybandit said: 12z HRRR and GFS are ramping up snow totals Well, there is now a warning out for the foothills for up to a foot below 8500', and up to 2 feet above... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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