mayjawintastawm Posted April 12 Share Posted April 12 Welcome to what seems to be real Spring! Flowers out, meadowlarks singing, sprinklers turned on. 80 F sometime this weekend, and closing day not far off for many ski areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 16 Share Posted April 16 A pleasant half inch of rain this morning, plus a trace of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted April 24 Author Share Posted April 24 2 hours ago, ValpoVike said: The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain. This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 20 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said: This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary. True and something that happens every spring. My neighbor 200’ above often receives several inches while I may get a sloppy mix, and my neighbor 300’ below is rain. All within adjacent property lines. Regarding fire danger, the state is forecasting “average”. I hope they are correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 24 Share Posted April 24 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 25 Share Posted April 25 11 minutes ago, smokeybandit said: 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests The last two events have been similar. Forecasts and AFDs have been very conservative while the GFS and Euro held steady for many days, and they seem to verify and slit the difference on accumulation. I am interested to see what happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted April 25 Author Share Posted April 25 16 hours ago, smokeybandit said: 18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow. GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests I had the most incredible ski day last weekend with 6 inches of fresh powder and empty trails, now my 4-packs are exhausted so no more this season, but it looks like the places that bet on a strong May will win big-time. Only A-Basin and Winter Park plan to be open beyond 5/12 though... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tezeta Posted April 25 Share Posted April 25 gonna be a gross weekend here why cant it dump on tuesdays and wednesdays instead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 25 Share Posted April 25 HRRR now even with significant snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 25 Share Posted April 25 Look at GFS...yowzers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 25 Share Posted April 25 AFD is at least now acknowledging snow chances in the Palmer Divide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 Looks like NWS is starting to ramp up the foothills. All of the models are now quite bullish on snowfall, and from what I can see from about 7k' and up...as well as the Palmer Divide. NWS is highlighting 8.5k' and up, and nothing highlighted for the Palmer Divide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 I've lived here almost 5 years and I've always done with the rain/snow line when temps are marginal, even at 6300 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 12z HRRR and GFS are ramping up snow totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 4 hours ago, smokeybandit said: 12z HRRR and GFS are ramping up snow totals Well, there is now a warning out for the foothills for up to a foot below 8500', and up to 2 feet above... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 Cloud cover seems to be receding a lot faster than projected. Hopefully we can get a good view of the Northern Lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 I saw pictures from all over the area of the aurora. yet I drove 10 minutes down the road to get away from as much light pollution as possible, and saw absolutely nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 3 hours ago, smokeybandit said: I saw pictures from all over the area of the aurora. yet I drove 10 minutes down the road to get away from as much light pollution as possible, and saw absolutely nothing. Up here and with good dark skies, starting around 9:15pm I could just make out the aurora but when I pointed my iPhone, and wow. I got some excellent photos and the aurora filled the sky in all directions. Around midnight the aurora brightened very considerably and was easily visible with the naked eye, but only to the northwest. I hadn’t see and aurora since the Halloween storm in 2003. The first image is at midnight and the others from earlier in the night all taken in Glen Haven 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted May 31 Author Share Posted May 31 Unexpected severe hail in a lot of places NW-SE between Broomfield and Aurora last night. 2.75" size hail reported in Commerce City with a lot of 1.5"-2". Somehow we didn't even get a drop of rain. Any others see much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted May 31 Share Posted May 31 Does anyone know if DIA received damaging hail? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 2 Author Share Posted June 2 On 5/31/2024 at 8:36 AM, ValpoVike said: Does anyone know if DIA received damaging hail? No LSRs and no news reports mentioned DIA, although the climate report for 5/30 said hail was observed during that storm. If they didn't receive damaging hail, it was mighty close. If the storm had been 8 miles further northeast, we'd have many many millions in damage to cars and airplanes. I would kind of like to see how sizable hailstones bounce off that big tent over the terminal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted June 2 Share Posted June 2 5 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said: No LSRs and no news reports mentioned DIA, although the climate report for 5/30 said hail was observed during that storm. If they didn't receive damaging hail, it was mighty close. If the storm had been 8 miles further northeast, we'd have many many millions in damage to cars and airplanes. I would kind of like to see how sizable hailstones bounce off that big tent over the terminal... My new truck is at Wally Park, so was extremely curious. Guess I will know for sure on Tuesday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 5 Author Share Posted June 5 On 6/2/2024 at 4:11 AM, ValpoVike said: My new truck is at Wally Park, so was extremely curious. Guess I will know for sure on Tuesday! truck OK? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 That's why I always suck it up and pay for covered airport parking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValpoVike Posted June 5 Share Posted June 5 1 hour ago, mayjawintastawm said: truck OK? Yeah, no pings! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 8 Share Posted June 8 On 6/5/2024 at 10:55 PM, ValpoVike said: Yeah, no pings! There have been almost no storm reports in the Front Range cities this year, except for the hail you guys already discussed. That is going to change today, as slight/enhanced risk is in Colorado. Severe thunderstorm watch issued. Also notable, an area of dr&&&&t showed up on the US Dr&&&&t Monitor in Fort Collins, so obviously it has been too dry there. Otherwise, the D0 value unusual dryness is not too big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 8 Author Share Posted June 8 3 hours ago, Chinook said: There have been almost no storm reports in the Front Range cities this year, except for the hail you guys already discussed. That is going to change today, as slight/enhanced risk is in Colorado. Severe thunderstorm watch issued. Also notable, an area of dr&&&&t showed up on the US Dr&&&&t Monitor in Fort Collins, so obviously it has been too dry there. Otherwise, the D0 value unusual dryness is not too big. LSRs are likely to all be east of the population centers again today. Got our first measurable rain in June today, a whopping 0.04" in about 15 minutes. The rain switched off a couple weeks ago, and May was actually drier than normal here too with just 1.06", most before the 20th. Most of the bigger storms have been north or south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted June 8 Share Posted June 8 I've been kind of keeping track with it. You can probably say the Front Range is on drought-alert at some point Here's some cells that developed after the blob from earlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted June 9 Author Share Posted June 9 Yeah we have friends who live right along US 36 in Kirk, and somehow they managed to avoid the large hail but the road was flooded. They get storm chasers driving by their house more days than not this time of year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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