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Mountain West Discussion


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  • 2 weeks later...

The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet  from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain.  

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2 hours ago, ValpoVike said:

The models are interesting this weekend. As expected for late April, there is a massive gradient over a very short distance…with the euro at 10-12” across central Larimer and a couple of feet  from the GFS. By eyeball, about 5 miles east and a couple of hundred feet in reduced elevation - rain.  

This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary.

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20 minutes ago, mayjawintastawm said:

This might be one of those times where you could take a walk uphill from your house and get snow, or downhill and get drenched. Either way, I like it- each day like this is a week less fire danger later on. Those long range summer outlooks are scary.

True and something that happens every spring. My neighbor 200’ above often receives several inches while I may get a sloppy mix, and my neighbor 300’ below is rain. All within adjacent property lines. Regarding fire danger, the state is forecasting “average”. I hope they are correct  

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11 minutes ago, smokeybandit said:

18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow.

GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests

The last two events have been similar. Forecasts and AFDs have been very conservative while the GFS and Euro held steady for many days, and they seem to verify and slit the difference on accumulation. I am interested to see what happens here. 

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16 hours ago, smokeybandit said:

18z NAM must see a lot of cold air. Dumping snow.

GFS and Euro have a lot more snow outside of the mountains than the AFD suggests

I had the most incredible ski day last weekend with 6 inches of fresh powder and empty trails, now my 4-packs are exhausted so no more this season, but it looks like the places that bet on a strong May will win big-time. Only A-Basin and Winter Park plan to be open beyond 5/12 though...

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  • 2 weeks later...
3 hours ago, smokeybandit said:

I saw pictures from all over the area of the aurora. yet I drove 10 minutes down the road to get away from as much light pollution as possible, and saw absolutely nothing.

Up here and with good dark skies, starting around 9:15pm I could just make out the aurora but when I pointed my iPhone, and wow. I got some excellent photos and the aurora filled the sky in all directions.  Around midnight the aurora brightened very considerably and was easily visible with the naked eye, but only to the northwest. 

I hadn’t see and aurora since the Halloween storm in 2003. The first image is at midnight and the others from earlier in the night  all taken in Glen Haven  

 

IMG_1942.jpg

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  • 3 weeks later...
On 5/31/2024 at 8:36 AM, ValpoVike said:

Does anyone know if DIA received damaging hail? 

No LSRs and no news reports mentioned DIA, although the climate report for 5/30 said hail was observed during that storm. If they didn't receive damaging hail, it was mighty close. If the storm had been 8 miles further northeast, we'd have many many millions in damage to cars and airplanes. I would kind of like to see how sizable hailstones bounce off that big tent over the terminal...

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5 hours ago, mayjawintastawm said:

No LSRs and no news reports mentioned DIA, although the climate report for 5/30 said hail was observed during that storm. If they didn't receive damaging hail, it was mighty close. If the storm had been 8 miles further northeast, we'd have many many millions in damage to cars and airplanes. I would kind of like to see how sizable hailstones bounce off that big tent over the terminal...

My new truck is at Wally Park, so was extremely curious. Guess I will know for sure on Tuesday!

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On 6/5/2024 at 10:55 PM, ValpoVike said:

Yeah, no pings!

 

There have been almost no storm reports in the Front Range cities this year, except for the hail you guys already discussed. That is going to change today, as slight/enhanced risk is in Colorado. Severe thunderstorm watch issued.  Also notable, an area of dr&&&&t showed up on the US Dr&&&&t Monitor in Fort Collins, so obviously it has been too dry there. Otherwise, the D0 value unusual dryness is not too big.

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3 hours ago, Chinook said:

There have been almost no storm reports in the Front Range cities this year, except for the hail you guys already discussed. That is going to change today, as slight/enhanced risk is in Colorado. Severe thunderstorm watch issued.  Also notable, an area of dr&&&&t showed up on the US Dr&&&&t Monitor in Fort Collins, so obviously it has been too dry there. Otherwise, the D0 value unusual dryness is not too big.

LSRs are likely to all be east of the population centers again today. Got our first measurable rain in June today, a whopping 0.04" in about 15 minutes. The rain switched off a couple weeks ago, and May was actually drier than normal here too with just 1.06", most before the 20th. Most of the bigger storms have been north or south.

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