tim123

6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Puking out some models tonight. WRF starts snow tomorrow around midnight and it goes moderate for two days. It’s a solid but manageable storm. Great track for the BUF-SYR and Tug/DAKS. 12” imo. And that might be conservative 

Hi rez gfs.

I would tend to believe the more nw because chicago a couple days ago was completely out of all this. Now they have warnings up for a foot.

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

yes

Must not have loaded yet on pivitol

5 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

rgem still jacked up

Has 00z run yet?

Nam bump nw again. 

4 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

18z Euro 10:1, p-type, and last 4 runs of 10:1.

13 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said:

18z Euro is a bit SE of 12z. Possibly drier (in general) too.

Chasing gfs. Lol. All these models blow chunks. 

Gfs came nw. Didn't give boston 20 inches of snow. Lol like 4.

Lol. From Sunday night

3 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

It is.  Sadly, this is only 10:1.  LOL

 

Couple days ago ukmet had southern pa with over a foot.

All the pieces aren't fully in the country until tonight.

That's alot of precip. Mexico to canada.

2 minutes ago, 96blizz said:

Hard to believe the RGEM is that bad. It was atrocious with the coastal this weekend too. Thinking longer range synoptic ain’t it’s thing. 

It did well with jan storm

Cmc looks like a big hit. Lol.

Just now, 96blizz said:

This ain’t my first rodeo. I know what’s bullshit when I see it. But fake maps with big numbers make some happy. And that’s what I’m here for. 
 

Speaking of that. Can someone help me change my name to MesoBanding?  I can’t figure it out. 

Better yet mega!!!!!band

Rgem says

Its the dead of winter. 

2 minutes ago, donyewest said:

Ground is still frozen under all this snow up in Butler.  Whatever melts between now, during the rain, likely won't be enough to warm up a lot of the surfaces.  WAA means clouds so the sun won't be out to really warm up manmade surfaces either.  Wonder if the freezing rain is going to readily accumulate everywhere.

Its the dead of winter. Won't have any issues with it not icing up. Especially if its light precip.

2 minutes ago, tombo82685 said:

Just curious, why do you guys use tidbit snow maps when they are severely flawed?

So I can see 12 inches of snow thats really 3 inches of sleet.

Just now, KPITSnow said:

There is an NAM sleet map that shows a foot of sleet. I wouldn’t count on that verifying.

Actually thats 3 inches of sleet. Ratios of sleet are about 3 to 1

It actually went farther nw with mix. Lol

2 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

I saw this in the Ohio thread from a TV meteorologist in Cleveland. Brings a foot and a half of snow all the way to the Ohio River in eastern Ohio... what model is showing that? I thought this might raise spirits here though. Lol.

I bet his in house model counts sleet

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

That would be after the storm passes with the northerly flow. therefore not related to this system as a whole synoptically speaking 

Yeah but even kbuf says 12 to 1 middle end of event. I don't think 13 to 1 is outlandish especially with second wave. First wave i agree 10 to 1 or lower.

1 minute ago, tombo82685 said:

Again, not sure how many times this has to be stated, cold plays some roll in this but it could be 5 degrees out and you could still have blah ratios. You need omega in the dgz and that is lacking right now 

Not if you include lake snow brother.

Just now, LakeEffectKing said:

Nice bump in totals generally..

 

Nam is the worst with including sleet. Someone in Scranton thinks their getting 2 feet. Lol

Now that we are getting into range. Starting to show some ontario love on nam 12k

Just now, TugHillMatt said:

Lol

Dude thats only to hour 60. Storm 2 is just starting