tim123
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Everything posted by tim123
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Been moving nw for past 4 runs keeping primary longer into ohio
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Cmc taking baby steps towards nam icon
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Its all about the handling of upper air. The will be a deep easterly flow that is moist.
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Gfs is horrible. Then again they all been kinda bad. I like nam icon rgem. Will gout out on a limb and call for 2 to 5 across western ny.
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Its a pretty big shift nw in precip field. Not where we want it but a shift
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Usually but it happens more than you would think. Especially if you have dueling lows. You get a elongated trough nw of competing new low
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Not saying it will happen like icon but I tend to believe that more than a whiff
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Alot of people have said the moisture is there but no forcing. The models are having a issue with handling the primary low coming out of rockies
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Gfs has trended in icon direction. So has ukie. The issue is the primary low in ohio valley and handling how it degenerates. If you look at icon it clearly shows a elongated area of low pressure from new primary on coast to old low in Ohio that moves ne
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Lol. Same time post.
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Icon.
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Icon is a good hit
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Think all the models are having issues with the low coming out of rockies. I stick with my gut and say this will be more significant here than modeled now.
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And with a ne wind roc would rock out
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Have seen this look many times. Not written in stone. Just pattern recognition. Has potential.
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The primary usually hangs on longer and grabs more. Historically.
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Whats is it for rochester?
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Thing that bodes well I believe is the trough that extends back into upstate. Historicaly under forcasted
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Good spot to be 5 days out. Usually pulls more nw
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Hopefully this is a step down into winter.
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Rgem Saturday evening.
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Typically I'd like to se storm a bit closer to be excited but its all we got at this point
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Think this is uoslope lake affect from a n wind on periphery of storm
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Canadian has been doin ok latley. Called last nights snow the best.
