tim123
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Everything posted by tim123
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Srefs are insane. Spread is 0 to 20 inches.
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Dave i think its more of a interaction of upper low in Ohio and surface low on coast. In all honesty I never seen models this much at odds. It sure is a volatile and tricky set up.
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Something to note. Many times these tend move 25 to 50 miles further nw than even modeled
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So it came north. Wonder what ensembles say?
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Something to watch. Nam starting to indicate lake effect lake enhanced for roc.
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Nam seems to hold. Not much change that i see.
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Give me panels 22 21 03. For the win. Lol
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Definitely higher in rochester.
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Thats map is 06z
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Let's see what eps says. Bet its higher than last run
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Euro might be king bit its crown is definitely tarnished
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Euro is not what it was 3 years ago
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You can see enhancement on ukie precip map. In monroe county
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4 to 6 buffalo 6 to 8 roc on ukie. Thats at 10 to 1
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I believe in icon. Lol gotta be correct once ad awhile. I has been consistent for like 5 days.
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Yes there was. More than 1 time
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Icon for the coup
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Icon a nice 3 to 7 for western ny
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I always was saying I think this gives wny 2 to 5 inches. Primary has more influence that's usually undermodeled
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Dam forgot about sref plumes. Gives roc a avg of 9 inches. Spread is like 1 inch to 25 inches. Lol
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I like my 2 to 5 call
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Baby steps
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Ba humbug. That kinda year. Pattern hast to break at some point.
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I don't try and go more than 15 to one. Quiet rare with higher than that in synoptic storms. But I think its reasonable.
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Another not there is cold air here will be more like 15 to 1 ratios
